Superliga·Regular Season - 15·
Superliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.132.77safe0.67–2.600.28–1.990.94–4.59safer0.42–2.850.05–2.210.46–5.07
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.183.678.84safe3.32–7.041.92–5.415.24–12.45safer2.83–7.531.46–5.874.28–13.40
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8211.2227.04safe11.90–19.757.65–14.7819.55–34.52safer10.80–20.846.69–15.7417.50–36.58
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.926.8416.75safe6.98–12.864.15–9.5211.13–22.38safer6.15–13.693.42–10.259.56–23.94
Blocked shots
55%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.127.07safe2.06–5.831.47–4.783.53–10.60safer1.52–6.370.98–5.272.50–11.64
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.4810.06safe3.36–7.792.48–6.485.84–14.27safer2.79–8.361.95–7.024.74–15.38
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction51.8948.47safe45.10–58.6841.68–55.25safer43.43–60.3540.01–56.93
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction479454933safe411–546388–521799–1067safer393–564370–538764–1102
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction69.2573.00safe65.23–73.2868.67–77.32safer63.93–74.5867.36–78.63
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0212.6123.63safe8.18–13.869.66–15.5517.85–29.41safer7.43–14.628.92–16.3016.34–30.92
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.473.25safe0.61–2.930.38–2.570.99–5.50safer0.31–3.230.09–2.850.40–6.09
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.903.26safe0.32–2.420.77–3.021.08–5.44safer0.05–2.680.48–3.320.53–6.00
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.405.99safe1.15–4.021.85–4.962.99–8.98safer0.76–4.411.42–5.382.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.67–2.60 0.42–2.85 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.21 | 2.77 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.32–7.04 2.83–7.53 | 3.67 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 8.84 5.24–12.45 4.28–13.40 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.82 11.90–19.75 10.80–20.84 | 11.22 7.65–14.78 6.69–15.74 | 27.04 19.55–34.52 17.50–36.58 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.92 6.98–12.86 6.15–13.69 | 6.84 4.15–9.52 3.42–10.25 | 16.75 11.13–22.38 9.56–23.94 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.83 1.52–6.37 | 3.12 1.47–4.78 0.98–5.27 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.50–11.64 | 55% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.36–7.79 2.79–8.36 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.95–7.02 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 51.89 45.10–58.68 43.43–60.35 | 48.47 41.68–55.25 40.01–56.93 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 479 411–546 393–564 | 454 388–521 370–538 | 933 799–1067 764–1102 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.25 65.23–73.28 63.93–74.58 | 73.00 68.67–77.32 67.36–78.63 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.18–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 12.61 9.66–15.55 8.92–16.30 | 23.63 17.85–29.41 16.34–30.92 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 3.25 0.99–5.50 0.40–6.09 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 1.90 0.77–3.02 0.48–3.32 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 5.99 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+