Superliga·Regular Season - 10·
Superliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.192.90safe0.74–2.680.33–2.041.07–4.72safer0.49–2.930.11–2.270.59–5.20
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.239.56safe3.46–7.192.49–5.975.95–13.16safer2.97–7.682.02–6.444.99–14.12
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6612.0225.68safe9.73–17.588.45–15.5818.19–33.16safer8.64–18.687.49–16.5416.14–35.21
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.396.9116.30safe6.44–12.334.23–9.5910.68–21.92safer5.61–13.163.49–10.339.11–23.49
Blocked shots
49%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.643.166.80safe1.76–5.521.51–4.823.27–10.34safer1.21–6.061.02–5.312.23–11.37
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.379.80safe3.22–7.652.37–6.375.59–14.02safer2.65–8.221.83–6.904.48–15.12
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.3148.79safe44.52–58.1042.01–55.58safer42.85–59.7740.34–57.25
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5354911026safe468–602425–558893–1160safer449–620407–575857–1196
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction73.2375.00safe69.20–77.2670.68–79.33safer67.91–78.5569.37–80.64
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4313.2222.65safe6.59–12.2610.28–16.1716.87–28.43safer5.83–13.029.53–16.9115.36–29.93
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.793.59safe0.64–2.960.70–2.881.33–5.84safer0.34–3.260.41–3.170.74–6.43
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.083.48safe0.35–2.450.95–3.211.30–5.66safer0.09–2.720.66–3.500.74–6.21
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
34%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.586.60safe1.59–4.462.03–5.143.61–9.60safer1.20–4.851.60–5.562.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 2.90 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.19 2.97–7.68 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 9.56 5.95–13.16 4.99–14.12 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.66 9.73–17.58 8.64–18.68 | 12.02 8.45–15.58 7.49–16.54 | 25.68 18.19–33.16 16.14–35.21 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.39 6.44–12.33 5.61–13.16 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.49–10.33 | 16.30 10.68–21.92 9.11–23.49 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 3.16 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 6.80 3.27–10.34 2.23–11.37 | 49% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 9.80 5.59–14.02 4.48–15.12 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 51.31 44.52–58.10 42.85–59.77 | 48.79 42.01–55.58 40.34–57.25 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 535 468–602 449–620 | 491 425–558 407–575 | 1026 893–1160 857–1196 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.23 69.20–77.26 67.91–78.55 | 75.00 70.68–79.33 69.37–80.64 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 9.43 6.59–12.26 5.83–13.02 | 13.22 10.28–16.17 9.53–16.91 | 22.65 16.87–28.43 15.36–29.93 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.59 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 3.58 2.03–5.14 1.60–5.56 | 6.60 3.61–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 34% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.