Superliga·Regular Season - 15·
Superliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.422.76safe0.37–2.310.56–2.270.94–4.58safer0.12–2.560.33–2.500.46–5.06
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.969.46safe2.64–6.363.22–6.705.86–13.07safer2.15–6.852.75–7.174.90–14.02
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5612.4025.96safe9.63–17.488.84–15.9618.47–33.45safer8.54–18.577.88–16.9216.42–35.50
Shots in box
42%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.447.6815.12safe4.49–10.385.00–10.369.49–20.74safer3.66–11.214.26–11.107.93–22.31
Blocked shots
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.916.41safe1.62–5.381.25–4.562.87–9.94safer1.08–5.930.76–5.051.84–10.98
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.004.909.90safe2.79–7.222.90–6.905.69–14.12safer2.22–7.792.37–7.444.58–15.23
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction50.2248.45safe43.43–57.0141.66–55.23safer41.76–58.6839.99–56.90
Passes
58%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5164901006safe449–583424–557873–1140safer431–601406–574837–1176
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction71.8874.42safe67.85–75.9170.09–78.74safer66.56–77.2068.78–80.05
Fouls
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.789.7023.48safe10.94–16.626.76–12.6517.70–29.27safer10.19–17.376.01–13.4016.20–30.77
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.573.35safe0.62–2.940.48–2.671.10–5.61safer0.32–3.240.19–2.960.51–6.20
Yellow cards
42%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.663.49safe0.78–2.880.53–2.791.31–5.67safer0.51–3.150.24–3.080.75–6.22
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.336.43safe1.67–4.541.77–4.883.44–9.42safer1.28–4.931.35–5.312.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 4.96 3.22–6.70 2.75–7.17 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.57 | 12.40 8.84–15.96 7.88–16.92 | 25.96 18.47–33.45 16.42–35.50 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 7.44 4.49–10.38 3.66–11.21 | 7.68 5.00–10.36 4.26–11.10 | 15.12 9.49–20.74 7.93–22.31 | 42% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.38 1.08–5.93 | 2.91 1.25–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 6.41 2.87–9.94 1.84–10.98 | 51% 16% 33% |
| Corners | 5.00 2.79–7.22 2.22–7.79 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.37–7.44 | 9.90 5.69–14.12 4.58–15.23 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 50.22 43.43–57.01 41.76–58.68 | 48.45 41.66–55.23 39.99–56.90 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 431–601 | 490 424–557 406–574 | 1006 873–1140 837–1176 | 58% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.88 67.85–75.91 66.56–77.20 | 74.42 70.09–78.74 68.78–80.05 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 13.78 10.94–16.62 10.19–17.37 | 9.70 6.76–12.65 6.01–13.40 | 23.48 17.70–29.27 16.20–30.77 | 77% 17% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.15 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.22 | 42% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 3.33 1.77–4.88 1.35–5.31 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.63–10.24 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.