Superliga·Regular Season - 11·
Superliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.042.96safe0.95–2.890.19–1.901.14–4.78safer0.70–3.140.00–2.130.66–5.26
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.409.90safe4.63–8.361.66–5.146.29–13.50safer4.14–8.851.19–5.615.34–14.46
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.4210.0528.47safe14.50–22.356.48–13.6120.98–35.96safer13.41–23.445.52–14.5718.93–38.01
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.176.4918.65safe9.23–15.113.80–9.1713.03–24.28safer8.40–15.943.07–9.9011.46–25.84
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.152.787.93safe3.27–7.031.13–4.444.40–11.47safer2.72–7.580.64–4.933.36–12.51
Corners
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.9410.07safe3.92–8.351.94–5.945.86–14.29safer3.35–8.921.40–6.474.75–15.39
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.4043.30safe50.61–64.1936.51–50.08safer48.94–65.8634.84–51.75
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction518412930safe451–586346–479797–1064safer433–604328–496761–1100
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction70.3270.11safe66.29–74.3565.78–74.43safer65.00–75.6464.48–75.74
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2512.0224.27safe9.41–15.089.07–14.9618.48–30.05safer8.65–15.848.33–15.7116.98–31.55
Offsides
45%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.413.14safe0.58–2.900.31–2.500.89–5.40safer0.28–3.200.02–2.790.30–5.99
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.133.54safe0.37–2.461.00–3.261.36–5.72safer0.10–2.730.71–3.550.81–6.28
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.457.06safe1.17–4.042.90–6.014.06–10.05safer0.78–4.432.47–6.443.25–10.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.50 4.63–8.36 4.14–8.85 | 3.40 1.66–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 9.90 6.29–13.50 5.34–14.46 | 80% |
| Total shots | 18.42 14.50–22.35 13.41–23.44 | 10.05 6.48–13.61 5.52–14.57 | 28.47 20.98–35.96 18.93–38.01 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.17 9.23–15.11 8.40–15.94 | 6.49 3.80–9.17 3.07–9.90 | 18.65 13.03–24.28 11.46–25.84 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.15 3.27–7.03 2.72–7.58 | 2.78 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 7.93 4.40–11.47 3.36–12.51 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.92 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.40–6.47 | 10.07 5.86–14.29 4.75–15.39 | 70% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.40 50.61–64.19 48.94–65.86 | 43.30 36.51–50.08 34.84–51.75 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 518 451–586 433–604 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 930 797–1064 761–1100 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.32 66.29–74.35 65.00–75.64 | 70.11 65.78–74.43 64.48–75.74 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 12.25 9.41–15.08 8.65–15.84 | 12.02 9.07–14.96 8.33–15.71 | 24.27 18.48–30.05 16.98–31.55 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.41 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.14 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 45% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.37–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.54 1.36–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 4.45 2.90–6.01 2.47–6.44 | 7.06 4.06–10.05 3.25–10.86 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.