Superliga·Regular Season - 19·
Superliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.863.19safe0.36–2.291.01–2.711.36–5.01safer0.11–2.550.78–2.940.88–5.49
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.679.99safe2.46–6.193.92–7.416.39–13.60safer1.97–6.683.46–7.885.43–14.55
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2716.3229.59safe9.34–17.1912.76–19.8822.10–37.07safer8.25–18.2811.80–20.8420.05–39.13
Shots in box
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6211.4420.06safe5.68–11.568.76–14.1214.43–25.68safer4.85–12.398.02–14.8612.87–27.25
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.554.317.86safe1.67–5.432.66–5.964.32–11.39safer1.12–5.982.16–6.453.29–12.43
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.715.3010.01safe2.50–6.923.30–7.305.80–14.23safer1.92–7.502.77–7.844.69–15.33
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.3951.58safe41.60–55.1844.79–58.36safer39.93–56.8543.12–60.03
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction447453900safe380–515386–519767–1034safer362–533369–537731–1070
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction67.5871.88safe63.55–71.6167.55–76.20safer62.26–72.9066.24–77.51
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4212.1823.60safe8.58–14.269.23–15.1217.82–29.38safer7.83–15.018.49–15.8716.31–30.89
Offsides
38%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.603.20safe0.44–2.760.51–2.690.95–5.46safer0.14–3.060.22–2.980.36–6.05
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.003.93safe0.88–2.980.87–3.131.75–6.11safer0.62–3.250.58–3.421.20–6.67
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.997.07safe2.64–5.521.43–4.554.08–10.06safer2.26–5.901.01–4.973.26–10.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.29 0.11–2.55 | 1.86 1.01–2.71 0.78–2.94 | 3.19 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 5.67 3.92–7.41 3.46–7.88 | 9.99 6.39–13.60 5.43–14.55 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 13.27 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.28 | 16.32 12.76–19.88 11.80–20.84 | 29.59 22.10–37.07 20.05–39.13 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 11.44 8.76–14.12 8.02–14.86 | 20.06 14.43–25.68 12.87–27.25 | 23% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.43 1.12–5.98 | 4.31 2.66–5.96 2.16–6.45 | 7.86 4.32–11.39 3.29–12.43 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.50–6.92 1.92–7.50 | 5.30 3.30–7.30 2.77–7.84 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 48.39 41.60–55.18 39.93–56.85 | 51.58 44.79–58.36 43.12–60.03 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 447 380–515 362–533 | 453 386–519 369–537 | 900 767–1034 731–1070 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.58 63.55–71.61 62.26–72.90 | 71.88 67.55–76.20 66.24–77.51 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.42 8.58–14.26 7.83–15.01 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.49–15.87 | 23.60 17.82–29.38 16.31–30.89 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.20 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 38% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.62–3.25 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.08 2.64–5.52 2.26–5.90 | 2.99 1.43–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 7.07 4.08–10.06 3.26–10.87 | 59% 14% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.