Superliga·Regular Season - 11·
Superliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.332.65safe0.35–2.290.48–2.180.83–4.47safer0.10–2.540.25–2.410.35–4.95
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.784.138.91safe2.92–6.642.39–5.875.30–12.51safer2.43–7.131.92–6.344.35–13.47
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7512.6527.40safe10.83–18.679.09–16.2119.91–34.88safer9.73–19.778.13–17.1717.86–36.94
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.478.2516.72safe5.53–11.415.57–10.9311.10–22.35safer4.70–12.244.84–11.679.53–23.91
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.276.87safe1.71–5.471.62–4.933.33–10.40safer1.17–6.021.13–5.422.30–11.44
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.065.1010.16safe2.84–7.273.10–7.105.95–14.37safer2.27–7.842.57–7.644.84–15.48
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.2049.00safe44.41–57.9942.21–55.78safer42.74–59.6640.54–57.46
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction480443923safe413–548376–509790–1057safer395–566359–527754–1093
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction69.3472.80safe65.31–73.3768.48–77.13safer64.02–74.6767.17–78.44
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9911.5224.52safe10.15–15.838.58–14.4718.73–30.30safer9.40–16.597.83–15.2217.23–31.80
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.483.36safe0.71–3.030.39–2.581.10–5.61safer0.41–3.340.10–2.860.51–6.20
Yellow cards
39%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.873.70safe0.79–2.880.74–3.001.52–5.88safer0.52–3.150.45–3.290.97–6.44
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.426.49safe1.63–4.511.86–4.983.50–9.48safer1.25–4.891.44–5.402.69–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.33 0.48–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.78 2.92–6.64 2.43–7.13 | 4.13 2.39–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.75 10.83–18.67 9.73–19.77 | 12.65 9.09–16.21 8.13–17.17 | 27.40 19.91–34.88 17.86–36.94 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.47 5.53–11.41 4.70–12.24 | 8.25 5.57–10.93 4.84–11.67 | 16.72 11.10–22.35 9.53–23.91 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.47 1.17–6.02 | 3.27 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 6.87 3.33–10.40 2.30–11.44 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.84–7.27 2.27–7.84 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.57–7.64 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 51.20 44.41–57.99 42.74–59.66 | 49.00 42.21–55.78 40.54–57.46 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 480 413–548 395–566 | 443 376–509 359–527 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.34 65.31–73.37 64.02–74.67 | 72.80 68.48–77.13 67.17–78.44 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.99 10.15–15.83 9.40–16.59 | 11.52 8.58–14.47 7.83–15.22 | 24.52 18.73–30.30 17.23–31.80 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 39% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.63–4.51 1.25–4.89 | 3.42 1.86–4.98 1.44–5.40 | 6.49 3.50–9.48 2.69–10.29 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+