Superliga·Regular Season - 16·
Superliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.383.01safe0.66–2.600.53–2.241.19–4.83safer0.41–2.850.30–2.470.71–5.31
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.034.379.40safe3.17–6.892.63–6.115.80–13.01safer2.68–7.382.16–6.584.84–13.96
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9712.4426.42safe10.05–17.908.88–16.0118.93–33.91safer8.96–18.997.92–16.9716.88–35.96
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.007.1317.13safe7.06–12.944.45–9.8111.50–22.75safer6.23–13.773.71–10.559.94–24.32
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.812.916.72safe1.92–5.691.26–4.573.19–10.26safer1.38–6.230.77–5.062.15–11.29
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.854.3310.18safe3.64–8.072.33–6.335.97–14.40safer3.07–8.641.80–6.864.86–15.50
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction50.9449.19safe44.15–57.7342.41–55.98safer42.48–59.4040.74–57.65
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction483468951safe416–550401–534817–1084safer398–568384–552781–1120
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction71.1672.03safe67.13–75.1967.71–76.36safer65.83–76.4866.40–77.66
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0713.1124.18safe8.23–13.9010.17–16.0618.40–29.96safer7.47–14.669.42–16.8116.89–31.47
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.733.39safe0.50–2.820.63–2.821.14–5.64safer0.20–3.120.34–3.110.55–6.23
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.083.56safe0.43–2.530.95–3.211.38–5.74safer0.16–2.790.66–3.500.82–6.29
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.416.29safe1.45–4.321.85–4.963.30–9.28safer1.06–4.711.43–5.392.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.03 3.17–6.89 2.68–7.38 | 4.37 2.63–6.11 2.16–6.58 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.97 10.05–17.90 8.96–18.99 | 12.44 8.88–16.01 7.92–16.97 | 26.42 18.93–33.91 16.88–35.96 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 10.00 7.06–12.94 6.23–13.77 | 7.13 4.45–9.81 3.71–10.55 | 17.13 11.50–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.92–5.69 1.38–6.23 | 2.91 1.26–4.57 0.77–5.06 | 6.72 3.19–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.64–8.07 3.07–8.64 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.86 | 10.18 5.97–14.40 4.86–15.50 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.94 44.15–57.73 42.48–59.40 | 49.19 42.41–55.98 40.74–57.65 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 483 416–550 398–568 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.16 67.13–75.19 65.83–76.48 | 72.03 67.71–76.36 66.40–77.66 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 13.11 10.17–16.06 9.42–16.81 | 24.18 18.40–29.96 16.89–31.47 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.39 1.14–5.64 0.55–6.23 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.29 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.41 1.85–4.96 1.43–5.39 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+