Superliga·Regular Season - 11·
Superliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.873.06safe0.22–2.151.02–2.721.23–4.88safer0.00–2.400.79–2.950.75–5.36
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.419.69safe2.41–6.143.67–7.166.08–13.29safer1.92–6.623.20–7.625.12–14.25
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3914.5727.96safe9.46–17.3111.01–18.1420.47–35.45safer8.37–18.4010.05–19.1018.42–37.50
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.409.9518.35safe5.45–11.347.27–12.6312.73–23.97safer4.62–12.176.53–13.3711.16–25.54
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.267.78safe1.64–5.402.61–5.914.24–11.32safer1.09–5.942.12–6.413.21–12.35
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.735.019.75safe2.52–6.953.01–7.015.53–13.96safer1.95–7.522.48–7.544.42–15.07
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.2958.27safe35.50–49.0851.48–65.05safer33.83–50.7549.81–66.72
Passes
13%
87%
homeawaytotalprediction427560988safe360–495494–627854–1121safer342–513476–644818–1157
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction66.5976.35safe62.56–70.6272.02–80.67safer61.27–71.9170.71–81.98
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2911.6422.93safe8.45–14.128.70–14.5917.15–28.71safer7.69–14.887.95–15.3315.64–30.21
Offsides
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.743.38safe0.48–2.800.64–2.831.13–5.63safer0.18–3.110.35–3.120.54–6.22
Yellow cards
36%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.953.75safe0.75–2.850.82–3.081.57–5.92safer0.48–3.110.53–3.371.01–6.48
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.016.35safe1.91–4.781.45–4.573.36–9.34safer1.52–5.161.03–4.992.55–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.87 1.02–2.72 0.79–2.95 | 3.06 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.14 1.92–6.62 | 5.41 3.67–7.16 3.20–7.62 | 9.69 6.08–13.29 5.12–14.25 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.39 9.46–17.31 8.37–18.40 | 14.57 11.01–18.14 10.05–19.10 | 27.96 20.47–35.45 18.42–37.50 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.45–11.34 4.62–12.17 | 9.95 7.27–12.63 6.53–13.37 | 18.35 12.73–23.97 11.16–25.54 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 4.26 2.61–5.91 2.12–6.41 | 7.78 4.24–11.32 3.21–12.35 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.52–6.95 1.95–7.52 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.54 | 9.75 5.53–13.96 4.42–15.07 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 42.29 35.50–49.08 33.83–50.75 | 58.27 51.48–65.05 49.81–66.72 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 427 360–495 342–513 | 560 494–627 476–644 | 988 854–1121 818–1157 | 13% 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.59 62.56–70.62 61.27–71.91 | 76.35 72.02–80.67 70.71–81.98 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.12 7.69–14.88 | 11.64 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.33 | 22.93 17.15–28.71 15.64–30.21 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.38 1.13–5.63 0.54–6.22 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.75 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 36% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.91–4.78 1.52–5.16 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.55–10.15 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.