Superliga·Regular Season - 17·
Superliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.133.11safe1.01–2.950.28–1.991.29–4.94safer0.76–3.200.05–2.220.81–5.42
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.093.849.93safe4.23–7.952.10–5.596.33–13.54safer3.74–8.441.63–6.055.37–14.49
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9110.9226.83safe11.98–19.837.36–14.4919.34–34.32safer10.89–20.926.40–15.4517.29–36.37
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.187.5918.77safe8.24–14.124.91–10.2713.14–24.39safer7.41–14.954.17–11.0111.58–25.96
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.207.88safe2.79–6.551.55–4.864.34–11.41safer2.25–7.101.06–5.353.30–12.45
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.879.65safe3.58–8.001.87–5.875.44–13.87safer3.00–8.581.33–6.404.33–14.98
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3741.63safe51.58–65.1634.84–48.41safer49.91–66.8333.17–50.08
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6114281039safe544–678362–495905–1173safer525–696344–512870–1208
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction74.4769.89safe70.44–78.5065.57–74.22safer69.15–79.7964.26–75.53
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6111.7623.38safe8.77–14.458.82–14.7117.59–29.16safer8.02–15.218.07–15.4616.09–30.66
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.423.18safe0.60–2.920.33–2.520.93–5.44safer0.30–3.220.04–2.810.34–6.03
Yellow cards
34%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.703.21safe0.46–2.560.57–2.831.03–5.38safer0.19–2.830.28–3.120.47–5.94
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.674.006.67safe1.23–4.102.44–5.553.67–9.66safer0.84–4.492.02–5.982.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 3.11 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.09 4.23–7.95 3.74–8.44 | 3.84 2.10–5.59 1.63–6.05 | 9.93 6.33–13.54 5.37–14.49 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.91 11.98–19.83 10.89–20.92 | 10.92 7.36–14.49 6.40–15.45 | 26.83 19.34–34.32 17.29–36.37 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.18 8.24–14.12 7.41–14.95 | 7.59 4.91–10.27 4.17–11.01 | 18.77 13.14–24.39 11.58–25.96 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.79–6.55 2.25–7.10 | 3.20 1.55–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.30–12.45 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.00 3.00–8.58 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 9.65 5.44–13.87 4.33–14.98 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 58.37 51.58–65.16 49.91–66.83 | 41.63 34.84–48.41 33.17–50.08 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 611 544–678 525–696 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 1039 905–1173 870–1208 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.47 70.44–78.50 69.15–79.79 | 69.89 65.57–74.22 64.26–75.53 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.77–14.45 8.02–15.21 | 11.76 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 23.38 17.59–29.16 16.09–30.66 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.83 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.21 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 34% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 4.00 2.44–5.55 2.02–5.98 | 6.67 3.67–9.66 2.86–10.47 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.