Superliga·Regular Season - 11·
Superliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.432.75safe0.35–2.290.58–2.290.93–4.57safer0.10–2.540.35–2.510.45–5.05
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.929.33safe2.55–6.273.18–6.675.73–12.94safer2.06–6.762.72–7.134.77–13.89
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5914.0126.60safe8.67–16.5210.45–17.5719.11–34.09safer7.57–17.619.49–18.5317.06–36.14
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.188.3516.53safe5.23–11.125.67–11.0410.91–22.15safer4.41–11.954.94–11.779.34–23.72
Blocked shots
45%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.336.87safe1.66–5.421.68–4.983.34–10.41safer1.12–5.971.19–5.482.30–11.44
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.629.97safe3.13–7.562.62–6.625.76–14.18safer2.56–8.132.09–7.154.65–15.29
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.4252.94safe39.63–53.2146.15–59.72safer37.96–54.8844.48–61.39
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction451514965safe384–518447–580831–1098safer366–536430–598795–1134
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction69.3074.83safe65.27–73.3370.51–79.15safer63.98–74.6269.20–80.46
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6611.2923.95safe9.82–15.508.35–14.2418.17–29.74safer9.07–16.257.60–14.9916.67–31.24
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.303.04safe0.58–2.900.21–2.400.79–5.30safer0.28–3.200.00–2.690.20–5.89
Yellow cards
39%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.753.51safe0.72–2.820.62–2.871.33–5.69safer0.45–3.080.33–3.170.78–6.25
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
43%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.016.08safe1.63–4.501.46–4.573.09–9.07safer1.24–4.891.03–4.992.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 4.92 3.18–6.67 2.72–7.13 | 9.33 5.73–12.94 4.77–13.89 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.59 8.67–16.52 7.57–17.61 | 14.01 10.45–17.57 9.49–18.53 | 26.60 19.11–34.09 17.06–36.14 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.18 5.23–11.12 4.41–11.95 | 8.35 5.67–11.04 4.94–11.77 | 16.53 10.91–22.15 9.34–23.72 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.12–5.97 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.19–5.48 | 6.87 3.34–10.41 2.30–11.44 | 45% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.09–7.15 | 9.97 5.76–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 46.42 39.63–53.21 37.96–54.88 | 52.94 46.15–59.72 44.48–61.39 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 451 384–518 366–536 | 514 447–580 430–598 | 965 831–1098 795–1134 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.30 65.27–73.33 63.98–74.62 | 74.83 70.51–79.15 69.20–80.46 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.82–15.50 9.07–16.25 | 11.29 8.35–14.24 7.60–14.99 | 23.95 18.17–29.74 16.67–31.24 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.04 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.75 0.62–2.87 0.33–3.17 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 3.01 1.46–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.28–9.89 | 43% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.