Superliga·Regular Season - 22·
Superliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.112.93safe0.85–2.790.25–1.961.11–4.75safer0.60–3.040.03–2.190.63–5.23
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.623.859.47safe3.76–7.482.11–5.595.86–13.08safer3.27–7.971.64–6.064.91–14.03
Total shots
74%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7511.9327.68safe11.82–19.678.37–15.5020.19–35.17safer10.73–20.767.41–16.4618.14–37.22
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.957.8817.83safe7.01–12.905.20–10.5612.21–23.46safer6.18–13.734.46–11.3010.64–25.02
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.997.31safe2.44–6.201.34–4.643.78–10.85safer1.90–6.750.84–5.132.74–11.88
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.474.399.85safe3.25–7.682.39–6.395.64–14.07safer2.68–8.251.85–6.924.53–15.17
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.7142.86safe49.92–63.5036.07–49.64safer48.25–65.1734.40–51.31
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5774291006safe510–644363–496872–1140safer492–662345–513837–1175
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction74.8672.55safe70.83–78.8968.22–76.87safer69.54–80.1966.91–78.18
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3712.0922.47safe7.54–13.219.15–15.0416.68–28.25safer6.78–13.978.40–15.7915.18–29.75
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.693.18safe0.33–2.650.60–2.780.93–5.43safer0.03–2.950.31–3.070.34–6.02
Yellow cards
33%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.653.04safe0.34–2.440.52–2.770.86–5.22safer0.08–2.710.22–3.070.30–5.77
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.616.28safe1.23–4.102.06–5.173.29–9.27safer0.84–4.491.63–5.602.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.62 3.76–7.48 3.27–7.97 | 3.85 2.11–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 9.47 5.86–13.08 4.91–14.03 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.75 11.82–19.67 10.73–20.76 | 11.93 8.37–15.50 7.41–16.46 | 27.68 20.19–35.17 18.14–37.22 | 74% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.01–12.90 6.18–13.73 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 17.83 12.21–23.46 10.64–25.02 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.90–6.75 | 2.99 1.34–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 7.31 3.78–10.85 2.74–11.88 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.85–6.92 | 9.85 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.17 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 56.71 49.92–63.50 48.25–65.17 | 42.86 36.07–49.64 34.40–51.31 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 577 510–644 492–662 | 429 363–496 345–513 | 1006 872–1140 837–1175 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.86 70.83–78.89 69.54–80.19 | 72.55 68.22–76.87 66.91–78.18 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 10.37 7.54–13.21 6.78–13.97 | 12.09 9.15–15.04 8.40–15.79 | 22.47 16.68–28.25 15.18–29.75 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.18 0.93–5.43 0.34–6.02 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.65 0.52–2.77 0.22–3.07 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.30–5.77 | 33% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.60 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.48–10.09 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+