Superliga·Regular Season - 11·
Superliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.272.62safe0.39–2.320.41–2.120.80–4.44safer0.14–2.580.18–2.350.32–4.92
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.158.86safe2.85–6.582.41–5.895.26–12.47safer2.36–7.071.94–6.364.30–13.42
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4112.1926.60safe10.48–18.338.63–15.7519.11–34.09safer9.39–19.427.67–16.7117.06–36.14
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.827.8216.64safe5.88–11.765.14–10.5011.01–22.26safer5.05–12.594.40–11.249.45–23.83
Blocked shots
44%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.457.04safe1.70–5.471.80–5.113.51–10.58safer1.16–6.011.31–5.602.47–11.61
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.629.82safe2.99–7.422.62–6.625.61–14.04safer2.42–7.992.09–7.154.50–15.14
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction51.9248.69safe45.13–58.7141.90–55.47safer43.46–60.3840.23–57.14
Passes
68%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction474416890safe407–541350–482756–1024safer389–560332–500721–1060
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction67.2170.62safe63.18–71.2466.30–74.95safer61.89–72.5364.99–76.26
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7214.0526.77safe9.88–15.5611.11–16.9920.99–32.55safer9.13–16.3110.36–17.7419.48–34.06
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.743.71safe0.80–3.120.65–2.841.45–5.96safer0.50–3.420.36–3.120.86–6.55
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.033.80safe0.72–2.820.90–3.161.62–5.97safer0.45–3.080.61–3.451.06–6.53
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.165.88safe1.29–4.161.60–4.712.89–8.87safer0.90–4.551.17–5.142.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.58 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.07 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.41 10.48–18.33 9.39–19.42 | 12.19 8.63–15.75 7.67–16.71 | 26.60 19.11–34.09 17.06–36.14 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.82 5.88–11.76 5.05–12.59 | 7.82 5.14–10.50 4.40–11.24 | 16.64 11.01–22.26 9.45–23.83 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 3.45 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.04 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.61 | 44% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.09–7.15 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.92 45.13–58.71 43.46–60.38 | 48.69 41.90–55.47 40.23–57.14 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 474 407–541 389–560 | 416 350–482 332–500 | 890 756–1024 721–1060 | 68% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.21 63.18–71.24 61.89–72.53 | 70.62 66.30–74.95 64.99–76.26 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.88–15.56 9.13–16.31 | 14.05 11.11–16.99 10.36–17.74 | 26.77 20.99–32.55 19.48–34.06 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.12 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.80 1.62–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.14 | 5.88 2.89–8.87 2.08–9.69 | 35% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.