Superliga·Regular Season - 20·
Superliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.202.75safe0.58–2.520.34–2.050.92–4.57safer0.33–2.770.12–2.280.44–5.05
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.349.03safe2.83–6.562.59–6.085.42–12.63safer2.34–7.052.13–6.544.47–13.59
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0211.7425.76safe10.09–17.948.18–15.3018.27–33.24safer9.00–19.037.22–16.2616.22–35.30
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.348.2717.60safe6.39–12.285.58–10.9511.98–23.22safer5.56–13.114.85–11.6810.41–24.79
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.722.726.45safe1.84–5.611.07–4.382.91–9.98safer1.30–6.150.58–4.871.88–11.02
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.4010.00safe3.38–7.812.40–6.405.78–14.21safer2.81–8.391.87–6.934.68–15.32
Possession %
46%
50%
homeawayprediction49.6450.53safe42.85–56.4343.75–57.32safer41.18–58.1042.08–58.99
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction444455899safe377–511389–521765–1033safer359–529371–539730–1068
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction67.3770.07safe63.34–71.4065.75–74.40safer62.05–72.6964.44–75.71
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0113.0926.10safe10.18–15.8510.14–16.0320.32–31.88safer9.42–16.619.39–16.7818.81–33.39
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.773.75safe0.82–3.140.68–2.861.50–6.01safer0.52–3.440.39–3.150.91–6.60
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.893.48safe0.55–2.640.76–3.011.30–5.66safer0.28–2.910.47–3.310.75–6.22
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.366.17safe1.37–4.241.81–4.923.18–9.16safer0.98–4.631.38–5.342.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.75 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 45% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 4.34 2.59–6.08 2.13–6.54 | 9.03 5.42–12.63 4.47–13.59 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.02 10.09–17.94 9.00–19.03 | 11.74 8.18–15.30 7.22–16.26 | 25.76 18.27–33.24 16.22–35.30 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.39–12.28 5.56–13.11 | 8.27 5.58–10.95 4.85–11.68 | 17.60 11.98–23.22 10.41–24.79 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 2.72 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 6.45 2.91–9.98 1.88–11.02 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.39 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.93 | 10.00 5.78–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 49.64 42.85–56.43 41.18–58.10 | 50.53 43.75–57.32 42.08–58.99 | — | 46% 50% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–529 | 455 389–521 371–539 | 899 765–1033 730–1068 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.37 63.34–71.40 62.05–72.69 | 70.07 65.75–74.40 64.44–75.71 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 13.01 10.18–15.85 9.42–16.61 | 13.09 10.14–16.03 9.39–16.78 | 26.10 20.32–31.88 18.81–33.39 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.36 1.81–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.37–9.98 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+