Superliga·Regular Season - 14·
Superliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.223.21safe1.03–2.970.36–2.071.39–5.04safer0.78–3.220.13–2.300.91–5.52
Shots on target
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.4410.43safe4.13–7.862.69–6.186.83–14.04safer3.64–8.352.23–6.645.87–14.99
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0712.5228.59safe12.15–20.008.95–16.0821.10–36.08safer11.06–21.097.99–17.0419.05–38.13
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.127.2118.33safe8.18–14.064.53–9.8912.70–23.95safer7.35–14.893.79–10.6311.14–25.52
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.347.59safe2.37–6.131.68–4.994.06–11.13safer1.83–6.681.19–5.483.02–12.16
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.214.1310.34safe4.00–8.432.13–6.136.13–14.55safer3.43–9.001.59–6.665.02–15.66
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction52.0149.23safe45.22–58.8042.45–56.02safer43.55–60.4740.77–57.69
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction485454940safe418–553388–521806–1073safer400–571370–538770–1109
Pass accuracy %
42%
52%
homeawayprediction71.3372.31safe67.30–75.3667.98–76.63safer66.01–76.6566.67–77.94
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2015.0226.22safe8.36–14.0412.07–17.9620.44–32.00safer7.61–14.7911.32–18.7118.93–33.51
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.583.30safe0.57–2.890.48–2.671.05–5.56safer0.27–3.190.19–2.960.46–6.15
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.263.82safe0.50–2.601.13–3.391.64–5.99safer0.24–2.870.84–3.681.08–6.55
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.897.15safe1.82–4.702.33–5.454.16–10.14safer1.44–5.081.91–5.873.34–10.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 3.21 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.99 4.13–7.86 3.64–8.35 | 4.44 2.69–6.18 2.23–6.64 | 10.43 6.83–14.04 5.87–14.99 | 63% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.07 12.15–20.00 11.06–21.09 | 12.52 8.95–16.08 7.99–17.04 | 28.59 21.10–36.08 19.05–38.13 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 11.12 8.18–14.06 7.35–14.89 | 7.21 4.53–9.89 3.79–10.63 | 18.33 12.70–23.95 11.14–25.52 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.37–6.13 1.83–6.68 | 3.34 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 7.59 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.16 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 6.21 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.59–6.66 | 10.34 6.13–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 52.01 45.22–58.80 43.55–60.47 | 49.23 42.45–56.02 40.77–57.69 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 485 418–553 400–571 | 454 388–521 370–538 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.33 67.30–75.36 66.01–76.65 | 72.31 67.98–76.63 66.67–77.94 | — | 42% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.20 8.36–14.04 7.61–14.79 | 15.02 12.07–17.96 11.32–18.71 | 26.22 20.44–32.00 18.93–33.51 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.58 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.70 1.44–5.08 | 3.89 2.33–5.45 1.91–5.87 | 7.15 4.16–10.14 3.34–10.95 | 33% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.