Superliga·Regular Season - 14·
Superliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.850.972.81safe0.88–2.820.11–1.820.99–4.64safer0.63–3.070.00–2.050.51–5.12
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.469.71safe4.38–8.111.72–5.216.11–13.32safer3.89–8.601.26–5.675.15–14.27
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4310.0827.50safe13.50–21.356.51–13.6420.02–34.99safer12.41–22.445.56–14.6017.97–37.04
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.266.4017.66safe8.32–14.203.72–9.0812.04–23.29safer7.49–15.032.98–9.8210.47–24.85
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.452.807.25safe2.56–6.331.15–4.453.71–10.78safer2.02–6.870.66–4.952.68–11.82
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.859.99safe3.93–8.361.85–5.855.78–14.20safer3.36–8.931.31–6.384.67–15.31
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.6845.65safe47.89–61.4738.87–52.44safer46.22–63.1437.19–54.11
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction516445961safe448–583378–511827–1094safer430–601361–529791–1130
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction71.2372.81safe67.20–75.2668.49–77.13safer65.91–76.5567.18–78.44
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5711.9924.55safe9.73–15.409.04–14.9318.77–30.34safer8.97–16.168.29–15.6817.27–31.84
Offsides
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.403.67safe1.10–3.420.31–2.501.41–5.92safer0.80–3.720.02–2.790.82–6.51
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.123.58safe0.41–2.511.00–3.251.40–5.76safer0.14–2.770.70–3.540.85–6.32
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.246.62safe0.94–3.812.69–5.803.62–9.61safer0.55–4.202.26–6.222.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.81 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.25 4.38–8.11 3.89–8.60 | 3.46 1.72–5.21 1.26–5.67 | 9.71 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.27 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.43 13.50–21.35 12.41–22.44 | 10.08 6.51–13.64 5.56–14.60 | 27.50 20.02–34.99 17.97–37.04 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.26 8.32–14.20 7.49–15.03 | 6.40 3.72–9.08 2.98–9.82 | 17.66 12.04–23.29 10.47–24.85 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.56–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 2.80 1.15–4.45 0.66–4.95 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.68–11.82 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.93–8.36 3.36–8.93 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.31–6.38 | 9.99 5.78–14.20 4.67–15.31 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 54.68 47.89–61.47 46.22–63.14 | 45.65 38.87–52.44 37.19–54.11 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 516 448–583 430–601 | 445 378–511 361–529 | 961 827–1094 791–1130 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.23 67.20–75.26 65.91–76.55 | 72.81 68.49–77.13 67.18–78.44 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 12.57 9.73–15.40 8.97–16.16 | 11.99 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 24.55 18.77–30.34 17.27–31.84 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.80–3.72 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.67 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.12 1.00–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 4.24 2.69–5.80 2.26–6.22 | 6.62 3.62–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+