Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.122.73safe0.64–2.580.27–1.970.91–4.55safer0.39–2.830.04–2.200.43–5.03
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.914.028.93safe3.05–6.772.28–5.775.33–12.54safer2.56–7.261.81–6.234.37–13.49
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9011.4725.37safe9.97–17.827.91–15.0317.88–32.85safer8.88–18.916.95–15.9915.83–34.90
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.057.8516.90safe6.11–11.995.16–10.5311.27–22.52safer5.28–12.824.43–11.269.71–24.09
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.197.18safe2.11–5.871.54–4.853.65–10.72safer1.57–6.421.05–5.342.61–11.75
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.6510.04safe3.18–7.612.65–6.655.83–14.26safer2.61–8.182.11–7.184.72–15.36
Possession %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction52.7347.20safe45.94–59.5240.42–53.99safer44.27–61.1938.74–55.66
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5594741033safe492–626408–541900–1167safer474–645390–558864–1203
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction73.4773.34safe69.44–77.5069.01–77.66safer68.15–78.7967.70–78.97
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0912.5723.66safe8.25–13.939.63–15.5217.88–29.45safer7.50–14.688.88–16.2716.38–30.95
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.783.60safe0.66–2.980.69–2.871.35–5.85safer0.36–3.280.40–3.160.76–6.44
Yellow cards
33%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.813.34safe0.47–2.570.68–2.941.16–5.51safer0.21–2.840.39–3.230.60–6.07
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.466.44safe1.55–4.421.90–5.013.45–9.43safer1.16–4.811.48–5.442.64–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.12 0.27–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.77 2.56–7.26 | 4.02 2.28–5.77 1.81–6.23 | 8.93 5.33–12.54 4.37–13.49 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.90 9.97–17.82 8.88–18.91 | 11.47 7.91–15.03 6.95–15.99 | 25.37 17.88–32.85 15.83–34.90 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.05 6.11–11.99 5.28–12.82 | 7.85 5.16–10.53 4.43–11.26 | 16.90 11.27–22.52 9.71–24.09 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.57–6.42 | 3.19 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.18 3.65–10.72 2.61–11.75 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.18–7.61 2.61–8.18 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.11–7.18 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 52.73 45.94–59.52 44.27–61.19 | 47.20 40.42–53.99 38.74–55.66 | — | 61% 35% |
| Passes | 559 492–626 474–645 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 1033 900–1167 864–1203 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.47 69.44–77.50 68.15–78.79 | 73.34 69.01–77.66 67.70–78.97 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 11.09 8.25–13.93 7.50–14.68 | 12.57 9.63–15.52 8.88–16.27 | 23.66 17.88–29.45 16.38–30.95 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.34 1.16–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 33% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 3.46 1.90–5.01 1.48–5.44 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.24 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+