Superliga·Regular Season - 15·
Superliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.272.59safe0.35–2.290.42–2.130.77–4.41safer0.10–2.540.19–2.360.29–4.89
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.418.81safe2.54–6.262.67–6.155.20–12.41safer2.05–6.752.20–6.624.25–13.37
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8412.2526.08safe9.91–17.768.68–15.8118.59–33.57safer8.82–18.857.72–16.7716.54–35.62
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.338.6116.95safe5.39–11.275.93–11.2911.32–22.57safer4.56–12.105.20–12.039.76–24.14
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.517.87safe2.48–6.241.86–5.164.33–11.41safer1.93–6.791.36–5.663.30–12.44
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.659.88safe3.02–7.442.65–6.655.67–14.09safer2.44–8.022.12–7.194.56–15.20
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.8645.92safe47.07–60.6539.13–52.70safer45.40–62.3237.46–54.37
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction497388886safe430–565322–455752–1019safer412–583304–472716–1055
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction71.3670.93safe67.33–75.3966.61–75.26safer66.04–76.6865.30–76.57
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6314.3927.02safe9.79–15.4711.45–17.3421.24–32.81safer9.04–16.2210.70–18.0919.74–34.31
Offsides
37%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.084.00safe0.76–3.080.99–3.171.75–6.25safer0.46–3.380.70–3.461.16–6.84
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.214.05safe0.79–2.891.09–3.341.87–6.23safer0.52–3.150.79–3.641.32–6.79
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
37%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.196.10safe1.48–4.351.63–4.753.11–9.09safer1.09–4.741.21–5.172.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.26 2.05–6.75 | 4.41 2.67–6.15 2.20–6.62 | 8.81 5.20–12.41 4.25–13.37 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.91–17.76 8.82–18.85 | 12.25 8.68–15.81 7.72–16.77 | 26.08 18.59–33.57 16.54–35.62 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.33 5.39–11.27 4.56–12.10 | 8.61 5.93–11.29 5.20–12.03 | 16.95 11.32–22.57 9.76–24.14 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.24 1.93–6.79 | 3.51 1.86–5.16 1.36–5.66 | 7.87 4.33–11.41 3.30–12.44 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.44 2.44–8.02 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.19 | 9.88 5.67–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 53.86 47.07–60.65 45.40–62.32 | 45.92 39.13–52.70 37.46–54.37 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 497 430–565 412–583 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.36 67.33–75.39 66.04–76.68 | 70.93 66.61–75.26 65.30–76.57 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.63 9.79–15.47 9.04–16.22 | 14.39 11.45–17.34 10.70–18.09 | 27.02 21.24–32.81 19.74–34.31 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 2.08 0.99–3.17 0.70–3.46 | 4.00 1.75–6.25 1.16–6.84 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.21 1.09–3.34 0.79–3.64 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.19 1.63–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.30–9.91 | 37% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.