Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.202.85safe0.68–2.620.35–2.061.03–4.68safer0.43–2.870.12–2.290.55–5.15
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.384.129.50safe3.52–7.252.38–5.865.90–13.11safer3.03–7.731.91–6.334.94–14.06
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7011.1626.86safe11.77–19.627.60–14.7219.37–34.34safer10.68–20.716.64–15.6817.32–36.39
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.098.1018.20safe7.15–13.035.42–10.7812.57–23.82safer6.32–13.864.68–11.5211.01–25.39
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.427.97safe2.67–6.441.76–5.074.44–11.51safer2.13–6.981.27–5.563.40–12.54
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.2810.09safe3.60–8.022.28–6.285.88–14.30safer3.02–8.601.75–6.814.77–15.41
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.0446.69safe47.25–60.8339.90–53.47safer45.58–62.5038.23–55.14
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction515427942safe448–582361–494808–1076safer430–600343–511773–1111
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction73.7672.57safe69.73–77.7968.25–76.90safer68.44–79.0866.94–78.21
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8813.4024.28safe8.04–13.7110.46–16.3518.50–30.06safer7.28–14.479.71–17.1016.99–31.57
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.763.83safe0.92–3.240.66–2.851.58–6.09safer0.61–3.540.38–3.140.99–6.68
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.273.72safe0.40–2.491.14–3.401.54–5.89safer0.13–2.760.85–3.690.98–6.45
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.506.17safe1.24–4.111.94–5.063.18–9.17safer0.85–4.501.52–5.482.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.15 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.38 3.52–7.25 3.03–7.73 | 4.12 2.38–5.86 1.91–6.33 | 9.50 5.90–13.11 4.94–14.06 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.77–19.62 10.68–20.71 | 11.16 7.60–14.72 6.64–15.68 | 26.86 19.37–34.34 17.32–36.39 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.15–13.03 6.32–13.86 | 8.10 5.42–10.78 4.68–11.52 | 18.20 12.57–23.82 11.01–25.39 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.67–6.44 2.13–6.98 | 3.42 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.97 4.44–11.51 3.40–12.54 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.60–8.02 3.02–8.60 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.81 | 10.09 5.88–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 54.04 47.25–60.83 45.58–62.50 | 46.69 39.90–53.47 38.23–55.14 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 515 448–582 430–600 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.76 69.73–77.79 68.44–79.08 | 72.57 68.25–76.90 66.94–78.21 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.04–13.71 7.28–14.47 | 13.40 10.46–16.35 9.71–17.10 | 24.28 18.50–30.06 16.99–31.57 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.61–3.54 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.83 1.58–6.09 0.99–6.68 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.72 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.50 1.94–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.17 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+