Superliga·Regular Season - 17·
Superliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.083.06safe0.01–1.951.23–2.931.24–4.89safer0.00–2.201.00–3.160.76–5.37
Shots on target
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.696.079.76safe1.83–5.554.33–7.826.16–13.37safer1.34–6.043.86–8.285.20–14.32
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4115.9627.37safe7.49–15.3412.40–19.5219.88–34.86safer6.40–16.4311.44–20.4817.83–36.91
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5810.8517.44safe3.64–9.528.17–13.5411.81–23.06safer2.81–10.357.44–14.2710.25–24.63
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.904.127.02safe1.02–4.782.46–5.773.48–10.55safer0.48–5.331.97–6.262.45–11.59
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.699.73safe1.83–6.253.69–7.695.51–13.94safer1.25–6.833.15–8.224.41–15.05
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction45.9252.88safe39.13–52.7146.09–59.66safer37.46–54.3844.42–61.33
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction452476928safe385–519410–543795–1062safer367–537392–560759–1098
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction65.9372.61safe61.90–69.9668.29–76.94safer60.61–71.2566.98–78.25
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1511.4924.64safe10.31–15.988.55–14.4418.86–30.42safer9.55–16.747.80–15.1917.35–31.93
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.753.46safe0.55–2.870.66–2.851.21–5.71safer0.25–3.170.37–3.130.62–6.30
Yellow cards
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.301.874.17safe1.25–3.350.74–3.001.99–6.34safer0.98–3.610.45–3.291.43–6.90
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.836.70safe2.44–5.311.27–4.383.71–9.69safer2.05–5.700.85–4.812.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 2.08 1.23–2.93 1.00–3.16 | 3.06 1.24–4.89 0.76–5.37 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.83–5.55 1.34–6.04 | 6.07 4.33–7.82 3.86–8.28 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 18% 73% |
| Total shots | 11.41 7.49–15.34 6.40–16.43 | 15.96 12.40–19.52 11.44–20.48 | 27.37 19.88–34.86 17.83–36.91 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.58 3.64–9.52 2.81–10.35 | 10.85 8.17–13.54 7.44–14.27 | 17.44 11.81–23.06 10.25–24.63 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.90 1.02–4.78 0.48–5.33 | 4.12 2.46–5.77 1.97–6.26 | 7.02 3.48–10.55 2.45–11.59 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 4.04 1.83–6.25 1.25–6.83 | 5.69 3.69–7.69 3.15–8.22 | 9.73 5.51–13.94 4.41–15.05 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 45.92 39.13–52.71 37.46–54.38 | 52.88 46.09–59.66 44.42–61.33 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 367–537 | 476 410–543 392–560 | 928 795–1062 759–1098 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.93 61.90–69.96 60.61–71.25 | 72.61 68.29–76.94 66.98–78.25 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 13.15 10.31–15.98 9.55–16.74 | 11.49 8.55–14.44 7.80–15.19 | 24.64 18.86–30.42 17.35–31.93 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.13 | 3.46 1.21–5.71 0.62–6.30 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.98–3.61 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 4.17 1.99–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.87 2.44–5.31 2.05–5.70 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.90–10.51 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+