Superliga·Regular Season - 18·
Superliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.082.84safe0.79–2.730.22–1.931.01–4.66safer0.54–2.980.00–2.160.53–5.14
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.433.969.38safe3.56–7.292.21–5.705.78–12.99safer3.07–7.781.75–6.164.82–13.94
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0510.8726.92safe12.12–19.977.31–14.4319.43–34.41safer11.03–21.066.35–15.3917.38–36.46
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.837.4618.29safe7.89–13.774.78–10.1412.67–23.92safer7.06–14.604.04–10.8811.10–25.48
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.247.35safe2.23–5.991.59–4.903.82–10.89safer1.68–6.531.10–5.392.78–11.92
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.614.179.78safe3.40–7.832.17–6.175.57–13.99safer2.83–8.401.63–6.704.46–15.10
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.6250.44safe43.83–57.4143.66–57.23safer42.16–59.0841.99–58.90
Passes
48%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction439443882safe371–506377–510748–1016safer353–524359–527713–1051
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction67.3369.87safe63.30–71.3565.55–74.20safer62.00–72.6564.24–75.51
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2813.4224.70safe8.45–14.1210.47–16.3618.92–30.48safer7.69–14.889.72–17.1117.41–31.99
Offsides
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.753.95safe1.04–3.360.65–2.841.69–6.20safer0.74–3.660.36–3.131.10–6.79
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.223.56safe0.29–2.391.09–3.351.39–5.74safer0.03–2.660.80–3.640.83–6.30
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.466.15safe1.25–4.121.91–5.023.16–9.14safer0.86–4.511.48–5.442.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.84 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.43 3.56–7.29 3.07–7.78 | 3.96 2.21–5.70 1.75–6.16 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.05 12.12–19.97 11.03–21.06 | 10.87 7.31–14.43 6.35–15.39 | 26.92 19.43–34.41 17.38–36.46 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.83 7.89–13.77 7.06–14.60 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 18.29 12.67–23.92 11.10–25.48 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 3.24 1.59–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 7.35 3.82–10.89 2.78–11.92 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.40–7.83 2.83–8.40 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.63–6.70 | 9.78 5.57–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 50.62 43.83–57.41 42.16–59.08 | 50.44 43.66–57.23 41.99–58.90 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 439 371–506 353–524 | 443 377–510 359–527 | 882 748–1016 713–1051 | 48% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.33 63.30–71.35 62.00–72.65 | 69.87 65.55–74.20 64.24–75.51 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.45–14.12 7.69–14.88 | 13.42 10.47–16.36 9.72–17.11 | 24.70 18.92–30.48 17.41–31.99 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.04–3.36 0.74–3.66 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.13 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.79 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.56 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 3.46 1.91–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+