Superliga·Regular Season - 19·
Superliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.152.94safe0.82–2.760.29–2.001.12–4.76safer0.57–3.010.06–2.230.64–5.24
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.849.27safe3.57–7.302.10–5.585.67–12.88safer3.08–7.791.63–6.054.71–13.83
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5811.7928.37safe12.65–20.508.23–15.3620.89–35.86safer11.56–21.607.27–16.3218.83–37.91
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.277.4617.73safe7.33–13.224.78–10.1412.11–23.36safer6.50–14.054.04–10.8810.54–24.92
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.817.09safe2.40–6.171.15–4.463.55–10.63safer1.86–6.710.66–4.952.52–11.66
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.4310.28safe3.63–8.062.43–6.436.06–14.49safer3.06–8.631.90–6.974.95–15.60
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.1643.11safe50.37–63.9536.33–49.90safer48.70–65.6234.66–51.57
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction519391910safe452–586324–457776–1044safer434–605307–475741–1079
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction72.8569.75safe68.82–76.8865.43–74.08safer67.52–78.1764.12–75.39
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5412.1924.73safe9.70–15.389.25–15.1418.95–30.51safer8.95–16.148.50–15.8817.45–32.02
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.663.07safe0.25–2.570.57–2.750.82–5.33safer0.00–2.880.28–3.040.23–5.92
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.833.31safe0.43–2.530.70–2.961.13–5.49safer0.16–2.800.41–3.250.58–6.05
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.395.92safe1.09–3.961.83–4.952.92–8.91safer0.70–4.351.41–5.372.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.76 0.57–3.01 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.57–7.30 3.08–7.79 | 3.84 2.10–5.58 1.63–6.05 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.58 12.65–20.50 11.56–21.60 | 11.79 8.23–15.36 7.27–16.32 | 28.37 20.89–35.86 18.83–37.91 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.27 7.33–13.22 6.50–14.05 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 17.73 12.11–23.36 10.54–24.92 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.17 1.86–6.71 | 2.81 1.15–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 7.09 3.55–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.63–8.06 3.06–8.63 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.97 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.95–15.60 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 57.16 50.37–63.95 48.70–65.62 | 43.11 36.33–49.90 34.66–51.57 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 519 452–586 434–605 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 910 776–1044 741–1079 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.85 68.82–76.88 67.52–78.17 | 69.75 65.43–74.08 64.12–75.39 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 12.54 9.70–15.38 8.95–16.14 | 12.19 9.25–15.14 8.50–15.88 | 24.73 18.95–30.51 17.45–32.02 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.88 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.80 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.58–6.05 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.39 1.83–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 5.92 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+