Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.122.77safe0.68–2.620.26–1.970.95–4.59safer0.43–2.870.04–2.200.47–5.07
Shots on target
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.229.39safe3.30–7.032.48–5.965.78–12.99safer2.81–7.522.01–6.434.83–13.95
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8211.1125.92safe10.89–18.747.54–14.6718.44–33.41safer9.80–19.836.58–15.6316.39–35.46
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.926.2816.20safe6.97–12.863.60–8.9610.57–21.82safer6.14–13.692.86–9.709.01–23.39
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.972.836.81safe2.09–5.861.18–4.493.27–10.34safer1.55–6.400.69–4.982.24–11.38
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.573.749.31safe3.36–7.791.74–5.745.10–13.53safer2.78–8.361.21–6.283.99–14.63
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction50.8549.09safe44.06–57.6442.31–55.88safer42.39–59.3140.64–57.55
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5114941004safe443–578427–560871–1138safer425–596410–578835–1174
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction71.8573.85safe67.82–75.8869.52–78.17safer66.52–77.1768.21–79.48
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0810.7322.81safe9.24–14.917.79–13.6817.02–28.59safer8.48–15.677.04–14.4215.52–30.09
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.573.27safe0.54–2.860.47–2.661.01–5.52safer0.24–3.160.19–2.950.42–6.11
Yellow cards
30%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.743.11safe0.32–2.420.61–2.870.93–5.29safer0.06–2.690.32–3.160.38–5.85
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.486.00safe1.08–3.961.92–5.043.01–8.99safer0.70–4.341.50–5.462.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.30–7.03 2.81–7.52 | 4.22 2.48–5.96 2.01–6.43 | 9.39 5.78–12.99 4.83–13.95 | 56% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.82 10.89–18.74 9.80–19.83 | 11.11 7.54–14.67 6.58–15.63 | 25.92 18.44–33.41 16.39–35.46 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.92 6.97–12.86 6.14–13.69 | 6.28 3.60–8.96 2.86–9.70 | 16.20 10.57–21.82 9.01–23.39 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 2.83 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.79 2.78–8.36 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.21–6.28 | 9.31 5.10–13.53 3.99–14.63 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 50.85 44.06–57.64 42.39–59.31 | 49.09 42.31–55.88 40.64–57.55 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 511 443–578 425–596 | 494 427–560 410–578 | 1004 871–1138 835–1174 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.85 67.82–75.88 66.52–77.17 | 73.85 69.52–78.17 68.21–79.48 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 12.08 9.24–14.91 8.48–15.67 | 10.73 7.79–13.68 7.04–14.42 | 22.81 17.02–28.59 15.52–30.09 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.11 0.93–5.29 0.38–5.85 | 30% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.96 0.70–4.34 | 3.48 1.92–5.04 1.50–5.46 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.81 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+