Superliga·Regular Season - 21·
Superliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.683.19safe0.55–2.480.83–2.541.37–5.02safer0.29–2.730.60–2.760.89–5.50
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.215.4210.63safe3.35–7.073.68–7.167.02–14.23safer2.86–7.563.21–7.636.07–15.19
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6315.3229.95safe10.70–18.5511.76–18.8822.46–37.44safer9.61–19.6410.80–19.8420.41–39.49
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6210.4820.10safe6.67–12.567.80–13.1614.48–25.72safer5.85–13.397.06–13.9012.91–27.29
Blocked shots
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.318.62safe2.42–6.192.66–5.975.08–12.15safer1.88–6.732.17–6.464.05–13.19
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.155.0310.18safe2.93–7.363.03–7.035.96–14.39safer2.36–7.932.50–7.564.86–15.50
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.3855.12safe38.59–52.1748.34–61.91safer36.92–53.8446.66–63.58
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction447520967safe380–514453–586833–1101safer362–533436–604798–1136
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction68.5875.39safe64.55–72.6171.06–79.71safer63.26–73.9169.75–81.02
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8611.3622.22safe8.02–13.708.42–14.3116.44–28.00safer7.27–14.457.67–15.0514.93–29.51
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.462.96safe0.34–2.660.37–2.550.71–5.22safer0.04–2.960.08–2.840.12–5.81
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.893.46safe0.51–2.610.77–3.021.28–5.63safer0.25–2.880.47–3.310.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.356.86safe2.08–4.951.80–4.913.87–9.86safer1.69–5.341.37–5.333.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.55–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.76 | 3.19 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.07 2.86–7.56 | 5.42 3.68–7.16 3.21–7.63 | 10.63 7.02–14.23 6.07–15.19 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.63 10.70–18.55 9.61–19.64 | 15.32 11.76–18.88 10.80–19.84 | 29.95 22.46–37.44 20.41–39.49 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 9.62 6.67–12.56 5.85–13.39 | 10.48 7.80–13.16 7.06–13.90 | 20.10 14.48–25.72 12.91–27.29 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.42–6.19 1.88–6.73 | 4.31 2.66–5.97 2.17–6.46 | 8.62 5.08–12.15 4.05–13.19 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.93 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.56 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 45.38 38.59–52.17 36.92–53.84 | 55.12 48.34–61.91 46.66–63.58 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 447 380–514 362–533 | 520 453–586 436–604 | 967 833–1101 798–1136 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.58 64.55–72.61 63.26–73.91 | 75.39 71.06–79.71 69.75–81.02 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.86 8.02–13.70 7.27–14.45 | 11.36 8.42–14.31 7.67–15.05 | 22.22 16.44–28.00 14.93–29.51 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 2.96 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.89 0.77–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.46 1.28–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 3.35 1.80–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 6.86 3.87–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 45% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.