Superliga·Regular Season - 21·
Superliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.453.01safe0.59–2.530.60–2.311.19–4.84safer0.34–2.780.37–2.540.71–5.32
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.449.40safe3.10–6.832.70–6.185.80–13.01safer2.61–7.322.23–6.654.84–13.96
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1113.2927.41safe10.19–18.049.73–16.8519.92–34.89safer9.10–19.138.77–17.8117.87–36.94
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.978.3818.35safe7.03–12.915.70–11.0612.73–23.97safer6.20–13.744.96–11.8011.16–25.54
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.657.69safe2.16–5.931.99–5.304.15–11.22safer1.62–6.471.50–5.793.12–12.26
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.794.5210.31safe3.58–8.012.52–6.526.10–14.53safer3.01–8.581.99–7.054.99–15.63
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.9651.21safe42.17–55.7544.42–57.99safer40.50–57.4242.75–59.66
Passes
48%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction459464923safe392–527398–530790–1057safer374–545380–548754–1093
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction68.8172.90safe64.78–72.8468.58–77.23safer63.49–74.1367.27–78.54
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1013.5226.62safe10.26–15.9310.58–16.4720.84–32.40safer9.50–16.699.83–17.2219.33–33.91
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.353.25safe0.75–3.070.25–2.441.00–5.51safer0.45–3.370.00–2.730.41–6.10
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.883.70safe0.77–2.870.75–3.011.52–5.88safer0.50–3.130.46–3.300.96–6.43
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.266.28safe1.58–4.451.71–4.823.28–9.27safer1.19–4.841.28–5.242.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.45 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 3.01 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.11 10.19–18.04 9.10–19.13 | 13.29 9.73–16.85 8.77–17.81 | 27.41 19.92–34.89 17.87–36.94 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.97 7.03–12.91 6.20–13.74 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 18.35 12.73–23.97 11.16–25.54 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.65 1.99–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.01 3.01–8.58 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.05 | 10.31 6.10–14.53 4.99–15.63 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 48.96 42.17–55.75 40.50–57.42 | 51.21 44.42–57.99 42.75–59.66 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 459 392–527 374–545 | 464 398–530 380–548 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 48% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.81 64.78–72.84 63.49–74.13 | 72.90 68.58–77.23 67.27–78.54 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 13.10 10.26–15.93 9.50–16.69 | 13.52 10.58–16.47 9.83–17.22 | 26.62 20.84–32.40 19.33–33.91 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.96–6.43 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 3.26 1.71–4.82 1.28–5.24 | 6.28 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+