Superliga·Regular Season - 22·
Superliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.553.27safe0.76–2.690.69–2.401.45–5.09safer0.51–2.940.46–2.630.97–5.57
Shots on target
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.669.83safe3.31–7.042.92–6.406.23–13.44safer2.82–7.532.45–6.875.27–14.39
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4712.2326.69safe10.54–18.398.66–15.7919.21–34.18safer9.45–19.487.71–16.7517.16–36.23
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.968.8818.83safe7.01–12.906.20–11.5613.21–24.46safer6.18–13.735.46–12.2911.64–26.02
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.197.36safe2.29–6.061.54–4.843.83–10.90safer1.75–6.601.04–5.332.79–11.93
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.219.49safe3.07–7.502.21–6.215.28–13.71safer2.50–8.071.68–6.744.17–14.81
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.9342.82safe50.14–63.7236.04–49.61safer48.47–65.3934.37–51.28
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6024381040safe534–669372–505906–1174safer516–687354–522871–1209
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction73.9670.39safe69.93–77.9966.07–74.72safer68.64–79.2964.76–76.03
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1911.2022.39safe8.35–14.038.26–14.1416.61–28.17safer7.59–14.787.51–14.8915.10–29.67
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.323.12safe0.65–2.970.22–2.410.87–5.38safer0.34–3.270.00–2.700.28–5.97
Yellow cards
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.483.06safe0.52–2.620.36–2.610.88–5.23safer0.26–2.890.06–2.910.32–5.79
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.586.69safe1.68–4.552.02–5.143.70–9.68safer1.29–4.941.60–5.562.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.69 0.51–2.94 | 1.55 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.17 3.31–7.04 2.82–7.53 | 4.66 2.92–6.40 2.45–6.87 | 9.83 6.23–13.44 5.27–14.39 | 50% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.47 10.54–18.39 9.45–19.48 | 12.23 8.66–15.79 7.71–16.75 | 26.69 19.21–34.18 17.16–36.23 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.96 7.01–12.90 6.18–13.73 | 8.88 6.20–11.56 5.46–12.29 | 18.83 13.21–24.46 11.64–26.02 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.19 1.54–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.93 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.07 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.68–6.74 | 9.49 5.28–13.71 4.17–14.81 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 56.93 50.14–63.72 48.47–65.39 | 42.82 36.04–49.61 34.37–51.28 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 602 534–669 516–687 | 438 372–505 354–522 | 1040 906–1174 871–1209 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.96 69.93–77.99 68.64–79.29 | 70.39 66.07–74.72 64.76–76.03 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 11.19 8.35–14.03 7.59–14.78 | 11.20 8.26–14.14 7.51–14.89 | 22.39 16.61–28.17 15.10–29.67 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.34–3.27 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.12 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.48 0.36–2.61 0.06–2.91 | 3.06 0.88–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 3.58 2.02–5.14 1.60–5.56 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.89–10.50 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.