Superliga·Regular Season - 22·
Superliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.212.99safe0.81–2.750.36–2.071.17–4.82safer0.56–3.000.13–2.300.69–5.29
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.039.59safe3.69–7.422.29–5.775.98–13.19safer3.20–7.911.82–6.245.03–14.15
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3912.0627.44safe11.46–19.318.49–15.6219.96–34.93safer10.37–20.407.53–16.5817.91–36.98
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.167.6217.79safe7.22–13.114.94–10.3012.16–23.41safer6.39–13.944.20–11.0410.60–24.98
Blocked shots
60%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.383.197.57safe2.50–6.261.54–4.844.03–11.10safer1.95–6.801.04–5.333.00–12.14
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.189.77safe3.38–7.812.18–6.185.56–13.99safer2.81–8.381.65–6.714.45–15.09
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.3247.22safe46.53–60.1140.44–54.01safer44.86–61.7838.76–55.68
Passes
71%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction503435938safe436–570369–501804–1072safer418–588351–519769–1107
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction71.4173.67safe67.38–75.4469.35–77.99safer66.08–76.7368.04–79.30
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0610.9722.04safe8.22–13.908.03–13.9216.25–27.82safer7.47–14.657.28–14.6714.75–29.32
Offsides
37%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.763.45safe0.54–2.860.67–2.851.20–5.71safer0.23–3.160.38–3.140.61–6.30
Yellow cards
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.633.11safe0.43–2.530.50–2.760.93–5.28safer0.16–2.790.21–3.050.37–5.84
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.606.10safe1.07–3.942.04–5.163.11–9.09safer0.68–4.321.62–5.582.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 2.99 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.29 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.56 3.69–7.42 3.20–7.91 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.39 11.46–19.31 10.37–20.40 | 12.06 8.49–15.62 7.53–16.58 | 27.44 19.96–34.93 17.91–36.98 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 10.16 7.22–13.11 6.39–13.94 | 7.62 4.94–10.30 4.20–11.04 | 17.79 12.16–23.41 10.60–24.98 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.26 1.95–6.80 | 3.19 1.54–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 3.00–12.14 | 60% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.71 | 9.77 5.56–13.99 4.45–15.09 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 53.32 46.53–60.11 44.86–61.78 | 47.22 40.44–54.01 38.76–55.68 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 503 436–570 418–588 | 435 369–501 351–519 | 938 804–1072 769–1107 | 71% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.41 67.38–75.44 66.08–76.73 | 73.67 69.35–77.99 68.04–79.30 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.90 7.47–14.65 | 10.97 8.03–13.92 7.28–14.67 | 22.04 16.25–27.82 14.75–29.32 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.76 0.67–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 37% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.11 0.93–5.28 0.37–5.84 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.32 | 3.60 2.04–5.16 1.62–5.58 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.30–9.91 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+