Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.023.19safe1.20–3.130.17–1.881.37–5.01safer0.94–3.380.00–2.110.89–5.49
Shots on target
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.5710.08safe4.64–8.371.83–5.326.47–13.68safer4.15–8.861.37–5.785.52–14.64
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.379.9827.36safe13.45–21.306.42–13.5519.87–34.84safer12.36–22.395.46–14.5117.82–36.89
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.466.2417.70safe8.52–14.403.56–8.9212.07–23.32safer7.69–15.232.82–9.6510.51–24.89
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.236.57safe2.46–6.230.57–3.883.04–10.11safer1.92–6.770.08–4.372.00–11.14
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.329.54safe4.01–8.431.32–5.325.33–13.76safer3.43–9.010.79–5.864.22–14.86
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.3343.19safe50.54–64.1236.40–49.97safer48.87–65.7934.73–51.64
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction544409953safe477–611343–476820–1087safer459–629325–493784–1123
Pass accuracy %
72%
23%
homeawayprediction88.4983.35safe84.46–92.5279.03–87.68safer83.16–93.8177.72–88.99
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0212.0423.06safe8.18–13.859.10–14.9917.28–28.84safer7.42–14.618.35–15.7315.77–30.34
Offsides
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.933.83safe0.73–3.050.84–3.031.57–6.08safer0.43–3.360.55–3.310.98–6.67
Yellow cards
23%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.093.36safe0.21–2.310.97–3.221.18–5.53safer0.00–2.580.67–3.510.62–6.09
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.464.496.94safe1.02–3.892.93–6.043.95–9.94safer0.63–4.282.51–6.473.14–10.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.16 1.20–3.13 0.94–3.38 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.50 4.64–8.37 4.15–8.86 | 3.57 1.83–5.32 1.37–5.78 | 10.08 6.47–13.68 5.52–14.64 | 78% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.37 13.45–21.30 12.36–22.39 | 9.98 6.42–13.55 5.46–14.51 | 27.36 19.87–34.84 17.82–36.89 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.46 8.52–14.40 7.69–15.23 | 6.24 3.56–8.92 2.82–9.65 | 17.70 12.07–23.32 10.51–24.89 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 2.23 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.57 3.04–10.11 2.00–11.14 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.43 3.43–9.01 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.86 | 9.54 5.33–13.76 4.22–14.86 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 57.33 50.54–64.12 48.87–65.79 | 43.19 36.40–49.97 34.73–51.64 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 544 477–611 459–629 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 953 820–1087 784–1123 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.49 84.46–92.52 83.16–93.81 | 83.35 79.03–87.68 77.72–88.99 | — | 72% 23% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.18–13.85 7.42–14.61 | 12.04 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.73 | 23.06 17.28–28.84 15.77–30.34 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.36 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.31 | 3.83 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.67 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 2.09 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.36 1.18–5.53 0.62–6.09 | 23% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 4.49 2.93–6.04 2.51–6.47 | 6.94 3.95–9.94 3.14–10.75 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+