Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
21%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.851.942.79safe0.00–1.821.09–2.800.97–4.62safer0.00–2.070.86–3.030.49–5.10
Shots on target
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.125.889.00safe1.26–4.994.13–7.625.39–12.60safer0.77–5.473.67–8.084.44–13.56
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9316.4726.40safe6.00–13.8512.91–20.0418.91–33.89safer4.91–14.9411.95–21.0016.86–35.94
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9810.3316.31safe3.04–8.927.64–13.0110.68–21.93safer2.21–9.756.91–13.749.12–23.50
Blocked shots
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.756.42safe0.80–4.562.09–5.402.89–9.96safer0.25–5.101.60–5.891.85–11.00
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.586.019.59safe1.37–5.804.01–8.015.38–13.81safer0.80–6.373.48–8.544.27–14.91
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction43.8255.91safe37.03–50.6149.13–62.70safer35.36–52.2847.45–64.37
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction416534949safe348–483467–600816–1083safer330–501450–618780–1119
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction79.9081.73safe75.87–83.9377.40–86.05safer74.57–85.2276.10–87.36
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4112.5022.90safe7.57–13.249.55–15.4417.12–28.68safer6.81–14.008.80–16.1915.61–30.19
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.563.01safe0.29–2.610.46–2.650.75–5.26safer0.00–2.910.17–2.940.17–5.85
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.763.75safe0.94–3.040.63–2.891.57–5.93safer0.67–3.310.34–3.181.01–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
69%
13%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.266.25safe2.55–5.420.70–3.823.25–9.24safer2.16–5.810.28–4.242.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.07 | 1.94 1.09–2.80 0.86–3.03 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 16% 21% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.26–4.99 0.77–5.47 | 5.88 4.13–7.62 3.67–8.08 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.44–13.56 | 14% 78% |
| Total shots | 9.93 6.00–13.85 4.91–14.94 | 16.47 12.91–20.04 11.95–21.00 | 26.40 18.91–33.89 16.86–35.94 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 5.98 3.04–8.92 2.21–9.75 | 10.33 7.64–13.01 6.91–13.74 | 16.31 10.68–21.93 9.12–23.50 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.68 0.80–4.56 0.25–5.10 | 3.75 2.09–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 6.42 2.89–9.96 1.85–11.00 | 27% 15% 59% |
| Corners | 3.58 1.37–5.80 0.80–6.37 | 6.01 4.01–8.01 3.48–8.54 | 9.59 5.38–13.81 4.27–14.91 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 43.82 37.03–50.61 35.36–52.28 | 55.91 49.13–62.70 47.45–64.37 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 416 348–483 330–501 | 534 467–600 450–618 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.90 75.87–83.93 74.57–85.22 | 81.73 77.40–86.05 76.10–87.36 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 10.41 7.57–13.24 6.81–14.00 | 12.50 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 22.90 17.12–28.68 15.61–30.19 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.01 0.75–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.31 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.01–6.49 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.99 2.55–5.42 2.16–5.81 | 2.26 0.70–3.82 0.28–4.24 | 6.25 3.25–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 69% 13% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.