Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.110.722.83safe1.14–3.080.00–1.581.01–4.66safer0.89–3.330.00–1.810.53–5.14
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.492.569.05safe4.62–8.350.82–4.305.44–12.65safer4.13–8.840.35–4.774.48–13.61
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.177.4026.57safe15.25–23.103.83–10.9619.08–34.05safer14.16–24.192.87–11.9217.03–36.10
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction12.584.3916.96safe9.63–15.521.71–7.0711.34–22.59safer8.80–16.350.97–7.819.77–24.15
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.092.437.52safe3.21–6.970.78–4.083.99–11.06safer2.67–7.520.28–4.572.95–12.09
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.272.479.74safe5.05–9.480.47–4.475.53–13.95safer4.48–10.050.00–5.014.42–15.06
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.8941.29safe51.10–64.6834.50–48.07safer49.43–66.3532.83–49.74
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5774321008safe509–644365–498874–1142safer491–662348–516839–1178
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction82.3377.72safe78.30–86.3673.40–82.04safer77.01–87.6572.09–83.35
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4511.1523.60safe9.61–15.298.21–14.0917.82–29.38safer8.86–16.047.46–14.8416.31–30.89
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.363.05safe0.52–2.840.27–2.460.80–5.30safer0.22–3.150.00–2.750.21–5.89
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.863.07safe0.17–2.260.73–2.990.90–5.25safer0.00–2.530.44–3.280.34–5.81
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.764.175.94safe0.33–3.202.62–5.732.94–8.93safer0.00–3.592.19–6.152.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.08 0.89–3.33 | 0.72 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 69% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.49 4.62–8.35 4.13–8.84 | 2.56 0.82–4.30 0.35–4.77 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.61 | 88% |
| Total shots | 19.17 15.25–23.10 14.16–24.19 | 7.40 3.83–10.96 2.87–11.92 | 26.57 19.08–34.05 17.03–36.10 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.58 9.63–15.52 8.80–16.35 | 4.39 1.71–7.07 0.97–7.81 | 16.96 11.34–22.59 9.77–24.15 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.09 3.21–6.97 2.67–7.52 | 2.43 0.78–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.27 5.05–9.48 4.48–10.05 | 2.47 0.47–4.47 0.00–5.01 | 9.74 5.53–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 92% |
| Possession % | 57.89 51.10–64.68 49.43–66.35 | 41.29 34.50–48.07 32.83–49.74 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 577 509–644 491–662 | 432 365–498 348–516 | 1008 874–1142 839–1178 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.33 78.30–86.36 77.01–87.65 | 77.72 73.40–82.04 72.09–83.35 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 12.45 9.61–15.29 8.86–16.04 | 11.15 8.21–14.09 7.46–14.84 | 23.60 17.82–29.38 16.31–30.89 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.15 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.26 0.00–2.53 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.07 0.90–5.25 0.34–5.81 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.76 0.33–3.20 0.00–3.59 | 4.17 2.62–5.73 2.19–6.15 | 5.94 2.94–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.