Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.583.06safe0.50–2.440.73–2.441.23–4.88safer0.25–2.690.50–2.670.75–5.36
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.679.55safe3.02–6.752.92–6.415.94–13.15safer2.53–7.242.46–6.874.99–14.11
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0812.7426.82safe10.15–18.009.18–16.3019.33–34.30safer9.06–19.098.22–17.2617.28–36.35
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.418.7317.14safe5.46–11.356.05–11.4111.51–22.76safer4.63–12.185.31–12.159.95–24.33
Blocked shots
57%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.926.79safe1.99–5.751.27–4.573.25–10.32safer1.44–6.290.77–5.072.22–11.36
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.249.22safe2.77–7.192.24–6.245.01–13.43safer2.19–7.771.71–6.773.90–14.54
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.2444.95safe49.45–63.0338.17–51.74safer47.78–64.7036.50–53.41
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction511410921safe444–579343–476788–1055safer426–597326–494752–1091
Pass accuracy %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction80.0476.38safe76.01–84.0772.06–80.70safer74.72–85.3670.75–82.01
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2913.8525.14safe8.45–14.1210.91–16.8019.36–30.92safer7.69–14.8810.16–17.5417.85–32.42
Offsides
14%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction1.873.885.75safe0.71–3.032.78–4.973.50–8.00safer0.41–3.342.49–5.262.91–8.59
Yellow cards
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.985.17safe1.14–3.241.85–4.112.99–7.34safer0.87–3.501.56–4.402.43–7.90
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.436.52safe1.65–4.521.88–4.993.53–9.51safer1.26–4.911.45–5.422.72–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.58 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 3.06 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.75 2.53–7.24 | 4.67 2.92–6.41 2.46–6.87 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.99–14.11 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.08 10.15–18.00 9.06–19.09 | 12.74 9.18–16.30 8.22–17.26 | 26.82 19.33–34.30 17.28–36.35 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.41 5.46–11.35 4.63–12.18 | 8.73 6.05–11.41 5.31–12.15 | 17.14 11.51–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.77–5.07 | 6.79 3.25–10.32 2.22–11.36 | 57% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.19 2.19–7.77 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.71–6.77 | 9.22 5.01–13.43 3.90–14.54 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 56.24 49.45–63.03 47.78–64.70 | 44.95 38.17–51.74 36.50–53.41 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 511 444–579 426–597 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.04 76.01–84.07 74.72–85.36 | 76.38 72.06–80.70 70.75–82.01 | — | 66% 30% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.12 7.69–14.88 | 13.85 10.91–16.80 10.16–17.54 | 25.14 19.36–30.92 17.85–32.42 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 3.88 2.78–4.97 2.49–5.26 | 5.75 3.50–8.00 2.91–8.59 | 14% 73% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.24 0.87–3.50 | 2.98 1.85–4.11 1.56–4.40 | 5.17 2.99–7.34 2.43–7.90 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.42 | 6.52 3.53–9.51 2.72–10.32 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.