Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.323.15safe0.87–2.800.46–2.171.33–4.98safer0.62–3.050.24–2.400.85–5.46
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.654.009.65safe3.79–7.512.26–5.746.05–13.26safer3.30–8.001.79–6.215.09–14.21
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9311.5028.44safe13.01–20.867.94–15.0720.95–35.92safer11.92–21.956.98–16.0218.90–37.97
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.516.6418.14safe8.57–14.453.95–9.3212.52–23.77safer7.74–15.283.22–10.0510.95–25.33
Blocked shots
52%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.257.13safe1.99–5.761.60–4.913.60–10.67safer1.45–6.301.11–5.402.56–11.70
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.863.889.74safe3.65–8.071.88–5.885.53–13.96safer3.07–8.651.35–6.414.42–15.06
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.4551.82safe41.66–55.2445.04–58.61safer39.99–56.9143.36–60.28
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction440476916safe372–507410–543782–1050safer354–525392–560747–1085
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction77.0578.37safe73.02–81.0774.04–82.69safer71.72–82.3772.73–84.00
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7711.3023.08safe8.94–14.618.36–14.2517.29–28.86safer8.18–15.377.61–15.0015.79–30.36
Offsides
70%
14%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.451.735.19safe2.29–4.620.64–2.832.93–7.44safer1.99–4.920.35–3.112.34–8.03
Yellow cards
39%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.923.84safe0.87–2.970.79–3.051.66–6.02safer0.61–3.240.50–3.341.10–6.58
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.586.23safe1.22–4.092.02–5.133.24–9.22safer0.83–4.481.60–5.562.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.80 0.62–3.05 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.24–2.40 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 50% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.65 3.79–7.51 3.30–8.00 | 4.00 2.26–5.74 1.79–6.21 | 9.65 6.05–13.26 5.09–14.21 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.93 13.01–20.86 11.92–21.95 | 11.50 7.94–15.07 6.98–16.02 | 28.44 20.95–35.92 18.90–37.97 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 11.51 8.57–14.45 7.74–15.28 | 6.64 3.95–9.32 3.22–10.05 | 18.14 12.52–23.77 10.95–25.33 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.25 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.70 | 52% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.65–8.07 3.07–8.65 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.41 | 9.74 5.53–13.96 4.42–15.06 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 48.45 41.66–55.24 39.99–56.91 | 51.82 45.04–58.61 43.36–60.28 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 440 372–507 354–525 | 476 410–543 392–560 | 916 782–1050 747–1085 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.05 73.02–81.07 71.72–82.37 | 78.37 74.04–82.69 72.73–84.00 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 11.77 8.94–14.61 8.18–15.37 | 11.30 8.36–14.25 7.61–15.00 | 23.08 17.29–28.86 15.79–30.36 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 3.45 2.29–4.62 1.99–4.92 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.11 | 5.19 2.93–7.44 2.34–8.03 | 70% 14% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.58 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.58 2.02–5.13 1.60–5.56 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+