Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.620.683.30safe1.65–3.590.00–1.541.48–5.12safer1.40–3.840.00–1.761.00–5.60
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.762.7110.46safe5.90–9.620.96–4.456.86–14.07safer5.41–10.110.50–4.915.90–15.02
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.318.1129.42safe17.39–25.244.55–11.6721.94–36.91safer16.30–26.333.59–12.6319.89–38.96
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.885.2820.16safe11.94–17.832.60–7.9614.54–25.79safer11.11–18.661.86–8.7012.97–27.35
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.871.967.82safe3.98–7.750.30–3.614.29–11.36safer3.44–8.290.00–4.103.25–12.39
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.853.0810.93safe5.64–10.061.08–5.086.72–15.14safer5.06–10.640.55–5.615.61–16.25
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.8434.34safe59.05–72.6327.56–41.13safer57.38–74.3025.88–42.80
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction638341980safe571–705275–408846–1113safer553–723257–425810–1149
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction91.3981.25safe87.36–95.4276.92–85.57safer86.07–96.7175.62–86.88
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction10.399.4519.85safe7.56–13.236.51–12.4014.06–25.63safer6.80–13.995.76–13.1412.56–27.13
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.923.89safe0.81–3.130.82–3.011.64–6.14safer0.51–3.440.53–3.301.05–6.73
Yellow cards
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.792.92safe0.08–2.180.66–2.920.74–5.10safer0.00–2.440.37–3.210.18–5.65
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.025.177.19safe0.59–3.463.61–6.724.20–10.18safer0.20–3.853.18–7.153.38–10.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.62 1.65–3.59 1.40–3.84 | 0.68 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.76 | 3.30 1.48–5.12 1.00–5.60 | 79% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.76 5.90–9.62 5.41–10.11 | 2.71 0.96–4.45 0.50–4.91 | 10.46 6.86–14.07 5.90–15.02 | 93% |
| Total shots | 21.31 17.39–25.24 16.30–26.33 | 8.11 4.55–11.67 3.59–12.63 | 29.42 21.94–36.91 19.89–38.96 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.88 11.94–17.83 11.11–18.66 | 5.28 2.60–7.96 1.86–8.70 | 20.16 14.54–25.79 12.97–27.35 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.87 3.98–7.75 3.44–8.29 | 1.96 0.30–3.61 0.00–4.10 | 7.82 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.39 | 89% |
| Corners | 7.85 5.64–10.06 5.06–10.64 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.55–5.61 | 10.93 6.72–15.14 5.61–16.25 | 91% |
| Possession % | 65.84 59.05–72.63 57.38–74.30 | 34.34 27.56–41.13 25.88–42.80 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 638 571–705 553–723 | 341 275–408 257–425 | 980 846–1113 810–1149 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 91.39 87.36–95.42 86.07–96.71 | 81.25 76.92–85.57 75.62–86.88 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.39 7.56–13.23 6.80–13.99 | 9.45 6.51–12.40 5.76–13.14 | 19.85 14.06–25.63 12.56–27.13 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.44 | 1.92 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.30 | 3.89 1.64–6.14 1.05–6.73 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.13 0.08–2.18 0.00–2.44 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 2.92 0.74–5.10 0.18–5.65 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.02 0.59–3.46 0.20–3.85 | 5.17 3.61–6.72 3.18–7.15 | 7.19 4.20–10.18 3.38–10.99 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.