Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.822.563.38safe0.00–1.791.71–3.411.56–5.20safer0.00–2.041.48–3.641.08–5.68
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction2.997.2110.20safe1.13–4.865.46–8.956.60–13.81safer0.64–5.355.00–9.425.64–14.76
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8818.1827.06safe4.95–12.8014.62–21.7419.57–34.54safer3.86–13.8913.66–22.7017.52–36.59
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4512.0618.51safe3.51–9.409.38–14.7412.89–24.13safer2.68–10.238.64–15.4811.32–25.70
Blocked shots
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.605.157.75safe0.72–4.483.49–6.804.21–11.28safer0.17–5.033.00–7.293.18–12.32
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.726.3210.05safe1.51–5.944.32–8.325.83–14.26safer0.94–6.513.79–8.864.72–15.37
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.2465.09safe27.45–41.0358.31–71.88safer25.78–42.7056.64–73.55
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction346625971safe279–413558–691837–1105safer261–431541–709802–1140
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction80.0089.94safe75.97–84.0385.61–94.26safer74.68–85.3284.31–95.57
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1111.4521.55safe7.27–12.948.50–14.3915.77–27.34safer6.51–13.707.75–15.1414.27–28.84
Offsides
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.854.09safe1.07–3.390.76–2.951.83–6.34safer0.77–3.700.47–3.231.24–6.93
Yellow cards
43%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.342.94safe0.55–2.650.21–2.470.76–5.12safer0.28–2.910.00–2.760.21–5.68
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.146.48safe2.90–5.770.59–3.703.49–9.47safer2.51–6.160.16–4.122.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.82 0.00–1.79 0.00–2.04 | 2.56 1.71–3.41 1.48–3.64 | 3.38 1.56–5.20 1.08–5.68 | 15% 75% |
| Shots on target | 2.99 1.13–4.86 0.64–5.35 | 7.21 5.46–8.95 5.00–9.42 | 10.20 6.60–13.81 5.64–14.76 | 88% |
| Total shots | 8.88 4.95–12.80 3.86–13.89 | 18.18 14.62–21.74 13.66–22.70 | 27.06 19.57–34.54 17.52–36.59 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 6.45 3.51–9.40 2.68–10.23 | 12.06 9.38–14.74 8.64–15.48 | 18.51 12.89–24.13 11.32–25.70 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.72–4.48 0.17–5.03 | 5.15 3.49–6.80 3.00–7.29 | 7.75 4.21–11.28 3.18–12.32 | 13% 77% |
| Corners | 3.72 1.51–5.94 0.94–6.51 | 6.32 4.32–8.32 3.79–8.86 | 10.05 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.37 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 34.24 27.45–41.03 25.78–42.70 | 65.09 58.31–71.88 56.64–73.55 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 346 279–413 261–431 | 625 558–691 541–709 | 971 837–1105 802–1140 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.00 75.97–84.03 74.68–85.32 | 89.94 85.61–94.26 84.31–95.57 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.11 7.27–12.94 6.51–13.70 | 11.45 8.50–14.39 7.75–15.14 | 21.55 15.77–27.34 14.27–28.84 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.70 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.23 | 4.09 1.83–6.34 1.24–6.93 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.34 0.21–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 2.94 0.76–5.12 0.21–5.68 | 43% 24% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.34 2.90–5.77 2.51–6.16 | 2.14 0.59–3.70 0.16–4.12 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.67–10.28 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.