Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.002.78safe0.82–2.750.14–1.850.96–4.61safer0.57–3.010.00–2.080.48–5.09
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.689.47safe3.93–7.651.93–5.425.86–13.07safer3.44–8.141.47–5.894.91–14.03
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7311.1127.84safe12.80–20.657.55–14.6720.35–35.33safer11.71–21.746.59–15.6318.30–37.38
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.796.4017.18safe7.84–13.733.71–9.0811.56–22.80safer7.01–14.562.98–9.819.99–24.37
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.252.626.86safe2.36–6.130.96–4.273.33–10.40safer1.82–6.670.47–4.762.29–11.43
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.869.78safe3.71–8.131.86–5.865.56–13.99safer3.13–8.711.32–6.394.46–15.10
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.4741.02safe51.68–65.2634.23–47.80safer50.01–66.9332.56–49.47
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction515361876safe448–582295–428742–1010safer429–600277–445707–1045
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction86.7080.71safe82.67–90.7376.38–85.03safer81.38–92.0275.07–86.34
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4413.9826.42safe9.60–15.2811.04–16.9320.64–32.20safer8.85–16.0310.29–17.6719.13–33.71
Offsides
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.562.84safe0.12–2.440.46–2.650.58–5.09safer0.00–2.740.18–2.940.00–5.68
Yellow cards
23%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.464.00safe0.48–2.581.34–3.591.82–6.17safer0.22–2.851.04–3.881.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.826.43safe1.17–4.042.27–5.383.44–9.42safer0.78–4.431.84–5.812.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.01 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.78 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.79 3.93–7.65 3.44–8.14 | 3.68 1.93–5.42 1.47–5.89 | 9.47 5.86–13.07 4.91–14.03 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.73 12.80–20.65 11.71–21.74 | 11.11 7.55–14.67 6.59–15.63 | 27.84 20.35–35.33 18.30–37.38 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.79 7.84–13.73 7.01–14.56 | 6.40 3.71–9.08 2.98–9.81 | 17.18 11.56–22.80 9.99–24.37 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.36–6.13 1.82–6.67 | 2.62 0.96–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 6.86 3.33–10.40 2.29–11.43 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.71–8.13 3.13–8.71 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.32–6.39 | 9.78 5.56–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 58.47 51.68–65.26 50.01–66.93 | 41.02 34.23–47.80 32.56–49.47 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 515 448–582 429–600 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 876 742–1010 707–1045 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.70 82.67–90.73 81.38–92.02 | 80.71 76.38–85.03 75.07–86.34 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.28 8.85–16.03 | 13.98 11.04–16.93 10.29–17.67 | 26.42 20.64–32.20 19.13–33.71 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.28 0.12–2.44 0.00–2.74 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 2.84 0.58–5.09 0.00–5.68 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.46 1.34–3.59 1.04–3.88 | 4.00 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.82 2.27–5.38 1.84–5.81 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.63–10.24 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.