Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
22%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.911.942.84safe0.00–1.881.08–2.791.02–4.67safer0.00–2.130.85–3.020.54–5.15
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.345.308.65safe1.48–5.203.56–7.055.04–12.25safer0.99–5.693.10–7.514.08–13.21
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7613.9824.74safe6.84–14.6910.42–17.5417.26–32.23safer5.75–15.789.46–18.5015.20–34.28
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction6.369.5515.91safe3.41–9.306.87–12.2310.29–21.53safer2.59–10.136.13–12.978.72–23.10
Blocked shots
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.055.99safe1.05–4.821.40–4.712.45–9.52safer0.51–5.360.91–5.201.42–10.56
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.305.099.38safe2.08–6.513.09–7.095.17–13.60safer1.51–7.092.55–7.624.06–14.70
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.9557.62safe36.16–49.7450.84–64.41safer34.49–51.4149.17–66.08
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction364514878safe297–431448–581745–1012safer279–449430–598709–1048
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction79.0185.02safe74.99–83.0480.70–89.35safer73.69–84.3479.39–90.66
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2712.6125.88safe10.44–16.119.67–15.5520.10–31.67safer9.68–16.878.92–16.3018.60–33.17
Offsides
14%
15%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.914.18safe0.11–2.431.81–4.001.92–6.43safer0.00–2.731.53–4.291.33–7.02
Yellow cards
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.934.17safe1.19–3.290.80–3.061.99–6.35safer0.93–3.560.51–3.351.44–6.91
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.080.21safe0.00–0.290.00–0.270.00–0.56safer0.00–0.440.00–0.400.00–0.84
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.455.54safe1.66–4.530.89–4.002.55–8.53safer1.27–4.920.47–4.431.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 1.94 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.02 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 17% 22% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.34 1.48–5.20 0.99–5.69 | 5.30 3.56–7.05 3.10–7.51 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.21 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.76 6.84–14.69 5.75–15.78 | 13.98 10.42–17.54 9.46–18.50 | 24.74 17.26–32.23 15.20–34.28 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 6.36 3.41–9.30 2.59–10.13 | 9.55 6.87–12.23 6.13–12.97 | 15.91 10.29–21.53 8.72–23.10 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.93 1.05–4.82 0.51–5.36 | 3.05 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 5.99 2.45–9.52 1.42–10.56 | 40% 17% 44% |
| Corners | 4.30 2.08–6.51 1.51–7.09 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.55–7.62 | 9.38 5.17–13.60 4.06–14.70 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 42.95 36.16–49.74 34.49–51.41 | 57.62 50.84–64.41 49.17–66.08 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 364 297–431 279–449 | 514 448–581 430–598 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.01 74.99–83.04 73.69–84.34 | 85.02 80.70–89.35 79.39–90.66 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 13.27 10.44–16.11 9.68–16.87 | 12.61 9.67–15.55 8.92–16.30 | 25.88 20.10–31.67 18.60–33.17 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.27 0.11–2.43 0.00–2.73 | 2.91 1.81–4.00 1.53–4.29 | 4.18 1.92–6.43 1.33–7.02 | 14% 15% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.93–3.56 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 4.17 1.99–6.35 1.44–6.91 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.45 0.89–4.00 0.47–4.43 | 5.54 2.55–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.