Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
22%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.860.752.61safe0.89–2.830.00–1.610.79–4.44safer0.64–3.080.00–1.840.31–4.92
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.672.808.47safe3.81–7.531.05–4.544.86–12.07safer3.32–8.020.59–5.003.91–13.03
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.178.9825.16safe12.25–20.105.42–12.5517.67–32.64safer11.16–21.194.46–13.5115.62–34.69
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.344.9516.29safe8.40–14.282.27–7.6310.67–21.92safer7.57–15.111.54–8.379.10–23.48
Blocked shots
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.002.356.35safe2.12–5.880.70–4.012.82–9.89safer1.58–6.430.21–4.501.78–10.92
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.489.44safe3.74–8.161.48–5.485.22–13.65safer3.16–8.740.95–6.024.11–14.76
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.9140.35safe53.12–66.7033.56–47.13safer51.45–68.3731.89–48.80
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction541350891safe474–608284–417758–1025safer456–626266–434722–1061
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction85.9478.46safe81.91–89.9774.14–82.78safer80.61–91.2672.83–84.09
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8312.6424.47safe8.99–14.679.70–15.5918.69–30.25safer8.23–15.428.95–16.3417.18–31.76
Offsides
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.331.244.56safe2.17–4.490.14–2.332.31–6.82safer1.87–4.790.00–2.621.72–7.41
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.113.57safe0.41–2.510.98–3.241.39–5.75safer0.14–2.770.69–3.530.83–6.30
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
17%
14%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.695.68safe0.56–3.432.13–5.242.69–8.67safer0.17–3.821.71–5.671.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 2.61 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 64% 22% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.67 3.81–7.53 3.32–8.02 | 2.80 1.05–4.54 0.59–5.00 | 8.47 4.86–12.07 3.91–13.03 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.17 12.25–20.10 11.16–21.19 | 8.98 5.42–12.55 4.46–13.51 | 25.16 17.67–32.64 15.62–34.69 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.34 8.40–14.28 7.57–15.11 | 4.95 2.27–7.63 1.54–8.37 | 16.29 10.67–21.92 9.10–23.48 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.88 1.58–6.43 | 2.35 0.70–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 6.35 2.82–9.89 1.78–10.92 | 67% 13% 19% |
| Corners | 5.95 3.74–8.16 3.16–8.74 | 3.48 1.48–5.48 0.95–6.02 | 9.44 5.22–13.65 4.11–14.76 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 59.91 53.12–66.70 51.45–68.37 | 40.35 33.56–47.13 31.89–48.80 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 541 474–608 456–626 | 350 284–417 266–434 | 891 758–1025 722–1061 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.94 81.91–89.97 80.61–91.26 | 78.46 74.14–82.78 72.83–84.09 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 11.83 8.99–14.67 8.23–15.42 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 24.47 18.69–30.25 17.18–31.76 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 3.33 2.17–4.49 1.87–4.79 | 1.24 0.14–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 4.56 2.31–6.82 1.72–7.41 | 77% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 3.69 2.13–5.24 1.71–5.67 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 17% 14% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+