Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.391.053.44safe1.43–3.360.20–1.901.62–5.27safer1.18–3.610.00–2.131.14–5.75
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.573.8710.44safe4.70–8.432.13–5.616.83–14.04safer4.21–8.921.66–6.085.87–15.00
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction18.4911.8930.38safe14.56–22.418.33–15.4622.89–37.87safer13.47–23.507.37–16.4220.84–39.92
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction13.127.4820.60safe10.18–16.064.80–10.1614.97–26.22safer9.35–16.894.06–10.9013.41–27.79
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.072.817.88safe3.19–6.951.16–4.474.35–11.42safer2.64–7.490.67–4.963.31–12.45
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.343.7111.06safe5.13–9.561.71–5.716.84–15.27safer4.56–10.131.18–6.255.74–16.38
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.4739.57safe53.68–67.2632.78–46.35safer52.01–68.9331.11–48.03
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction546340886safe478–613274–407752–1019safer460–631256–424716–1055
Pass accuracy %
82%
14%
homeawayprediction81.3173.57safe77.28–85.3469.25–77.90safer75.99–86.6367.94–79.21
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2311.5721.80safe7.39–13.078.63–14.5116.02–27.58safer6.64–13.827.88–15.2614.51–29.09
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.413.01safe0.43–2.750.32–2.510.75–5.26safer0.13–3.060.03–2.790.17–5.85
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.143.57safe0.38–2.481.01–3.271.39–5.75safer0.12–2.750.72–3.560.84–6.31
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.444.667.10safe1.00–3.873.11–6.224.11–10.09safer0.61–4.262.68–6.643.29–10.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.43–3.36 1.18–3.61 | 1.05 0.20–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 3.44 1.62–5.27 1.14–5.75 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.57 4.70–8.43 4.21–8.92 | 3.87 2.13–5.61 1.66–6.08 | 10.44 6.83–14.04 5.87–15.00 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 18.49 14.56–22.41 13.47–23.50 | 11.89 8.33–15.46 7.37–16.42 | 30.38 22.89–37.87 20.84–39.92 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 13.12 10.18–16.06 9.35–16.89 | 7.48 4.80–10.16 4.06–10.90 | 20.60 14.97–26.22 13.41–27.79 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.07 3.19–6.95 2.64–7.49 | 2.81 1.16–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 7.88 4.35–11.42 3.31–12.45 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 7.34 5.13–9.56 4.56–10.13 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.18–6.25 | 11.06 6.84–15.27 5.74–16.38 | 83% |
| Possession % | 60.47 53.68–67.26 52.01–68.93 | 39.57 32.78–46.35 31.11–48.03 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 546 478–613 460–631 | 340 274–407 256–424 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.31 77.28–85.34 75.99–86.63 | 73.57 69.25–77.90 67.94–79.21 | — | 82% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.07 6.64–13.82 | 11.57 8.63–14.51 7.88–15.26 | 21.80 16.02–27.58 14.51–29.09 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.06 | 1.41 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.79 | 3.01 0.75–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 4.66 3.11–6.22 2.68–6.64 | 7.10 4.11–10.09 3.29–10.90 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.