Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.002.073.07safe0.03–1.971.22–2.921.25–4.89safer0.00–2.220.99–3.150.77–5.37
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.995.569.55safe2.12–5.853.82–7.305.94–13.15safer1.63–6.343.35–7.774.99–14.11
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3014.9528.26safe9.38–17.2311.39–18.5220.77–35.75safer8.29–18.3210.43–19.4818.72–37.80
Shots in box
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5311.1919.72safe5.58–11.478.51–13.8714.10–25.34safer4.76–12.307.77–14.6112.53–26.91
Blocked shots
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.489.08safe2.72–6.492.82–6.135.55–12.62safer2.18–7.032.33–6.624.51–13.66
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.4910.24safe2.54–6.973.49–7.496.03–14.46safer1.96–7.542.96–8.024.92–15.56
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction40.6858.75safe33.89–47.4751.96–65.53safer32.22–49.1450.29–67.20
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction334504838safe267–401437–570704–971safer249–419420–588668–1007
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction71.8178.34safe67.78–75.8474.01–82.66safer66.49–77.1372.70–83.97
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1411.8122.95safe8.30–13.988.87–14.7517.17–28.73safer7.55–14.738.12–15.5015.66–30.24
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.613.06safe0.29–2.610.51–2.700.80–5.31safer0.00–2.910.23–2.990.21–5.90
Yellow cards
42%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.623.39safe0.72–2.820.49–2.751.21–5.57safer0.45–3.080.20–3.040.66–6.13
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
54%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.786.36safe2.14–5.011.23–4.343.36–9.35safer1.75–5.400.80–4.762.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 2.07 1.22–2.92 0.99–3.15 | 3.07 1.25–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 17% 21% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.99 2.12–5.85 1.63–6.34 | 5.56 3.82–7.30 3.35–7.77 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.99–14.11 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.38–17.23 8.29–18.32 | 14.95 11.39–18.52 10.43–19.48 | 28.26 20.77–35.75 18.72–37.80 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.53 5.58–11.47 4.76–12.30 | 11.19 8.51–13.87 7.77–14.61 | 19.72 14.10–25.34 12.53–26.91 | 24% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.72–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 4.48 2.82–6.13 2.33–6.62 | 9.08 5.55–12.62 4.51–13.66 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.97 1.96–7.54 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.96–8.02 | 10.24 6.03–14.46 4.92–15.56 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 40.68 33.89–47.47 32.22–49.14 | 58.75 51.96–65.53 50.29–67.20 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 334 267–401 249–419 | 504 437–570 420–588 | 838 704–971 668–1007 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.81 67.78–75.84 66.49–77.13 | 78.34 74.01–82.66 72.70–83.97 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.30–13.98 7.55–14.73 | 11.81 8.87–14.75 8.12–15.50 | 22.95 17.17–28.73 15.66–30.24 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 42% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.14–5.01 1.75–5.40 | 2.78 1.23–4.34 0.80–4.76 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 54% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.