Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.912.99safe0.12–2.051.05–2.761.17–4.81safer0.00–2.310.82–2.990.69–5.29
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.825.559.37safe1.96–5.683.81–7.305.77–12.98safer1.47–6.173.35–7.764.81–13.93
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7415.5326.27safe6.82–14.6611.96–19.0918.78–33.75safer5.72–15.7611.00–20.0516.73–35.80
Shots in box
18%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction6.409.5115.91safe3.46–9.346.83–12.1910.28–21.53safer2.63–10.176.09–12.938.72–23.10
Blocked shots
21%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.624.156.77safe0.74–4.502.50–5.803.24–10.31safer0.20–5.052.01–6.302.20–11.34
Corners
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.765.769.52safe1.55–5.973.76–7.765.31–13.74safer0.97–6.553.23–8.304.20–14.84
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.1759.96safe34.38–47.9653.17–66.74safer32.71–49.6351.50–68.41
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction386567953safe319–453501–633819–1086safer300–471483–651783–1122
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction83.8689.55safe79.83–87.8985.23–93.88safer78.54–89.1883.92–95.19
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3612.0923.45safe8.52–14.209.14–15.0317.66–29.23safer7.76–14.958.39–15.7816.16–30.73
Offsides
66%
17%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.641.313.95safe1.48–3.800.21–2.401.69–6.20safer1.18–4.100.00–2.691.10–6.79
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.254.34safe1.04–3.141.12–3.382.16–6.52safer0.78–3.410.83–3.671.60–7.07
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.110.25safe0.00–0.310.00–0.290.00–0.60safer0.00–0.460.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.846.34safe2.06–4.941.29–4.403.35–9.34safer1.68–5.320.86–4.822.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 1.91 1.05–2.76 0.82–2.99 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 21% 22% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.96–5.68 1.47–6.17 | 5.55 3.81–7.30 3.35–7.76 | 9.37 5.77–12.98 4.81–13.93 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 10.74 6.82–14.66 5.72–15.76 | 15.53 11.96–19.09 11.00–20.05 | 26.27 18.78–33.75 16.73–35.80 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.40 3.46–9.34 2.63–10.17 | 9.51 6.83–12.19 6.09–12.93 | 15.91 10.28–21.53 8.72–23.10 | 18% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 2.62 0.74–4.50 0.20–5.05 | 4.15 2.50–5.80 2.01–6.30 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 21% 13% 65% |
| Corners | 3.76 1.55–5.97 0.97–6.55 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.30 | 9.52 5.31–13.74 4.20–14.84 | 21% 69% |
| Possession % | 41.17 34.38–47.96 32.71–49.63 | 59.96 53.17–66.74 51.50–68.41 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 386 319–453 300–471 | 567 501–633 483–651 | 953 819–1086 783–1122 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.86 79.83–87.89 78.54–89.18 | 89.55 85.23–93.88 83.92–95.19 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.52–14.20 7.76–14.95 | 12.09 9.14–15.03 8.39–15.78 | 23.45 17.66–29.23 16.16–30.73 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.64 1.48–3.80 1.18–4.10 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.79 | 66% 17% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.34 2.16–6.52 1.60–7.07 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.94 1.68–5.32 | 2.84 1.29–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 6.34 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.