Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.180.963.14safe1.21–3.140.11–1.821.32–4.96safer0.96–3.400.00–2.050.84–5.44
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.453.279.72safe4.59–8.311.53–5.016.11–13.32safer4.10–8.801.06–5.485.16–14.28
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.369.1627.51safe14.43–22.285.60–12.7220.03–35.00safer13.34–23.374.64–13.6817.98–37.05
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.005.6417.64safe9.05–14.942.96–8.3212.01–23.26safer8.22–15.772.22–9.0610.45–24.83
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.752.347.08safe2.86–6.630.69–3.993.55–10.62safer2.32–7.170.19–4.482.51–11.66
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.229.72safe4.29–8.721.22–5.225.50–13.93safer3.71–9.290.68–5.754.40–15.04
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.8040.74safe53.01–66.5933.96–47.53safer51.34–68.2632.29–49.20
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction589399988safe522–657332–465854–1122safer504–675315–482819–1157
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction89.9184.59safe85.88–93.9480.27–88.92safer84.59–95.2478.96–90.23
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6111.2322.84safe8.77–14.458.29–14.1817.06–28.63safer8.02–15.207.54–14.9315.56–30.13
Offsides
26%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.073.50safe0.27–2.590.98–3.171.25–5.75safer0.00–2.890.69–3.450.66–6.34
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.213.82safe0.56–2.661.09–3.341.65–6.00safer0.30–2.930.79–3.631.09–6.56
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.224.206.42safe0.79–3.662.65–5.763.43–9.42safer0.40–4.052.22–6.182.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.14 0.96–3.40 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.45 4.59–8.31 4.10–8.80 | 3.27 1.53–5.01 1.06–5.48 | 9.72 6.11–13.32 5.16–14.28 | 81% |
| Total shots | 18.36 14.43–22.28 13.34–23.37 | 9.16 5.60–12.72 4.64–13.68 | 27.51 20.03–35.00 17.98–37.05 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.00 9.05–14.94 8.22–15.77 | 5.64 2.96–8.32 2.22–9.06 | 17.64 12.01–23.26 10.45–24.83 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 2.34 0.69–3.99 0.19–4.48 | 7.08 3.55–10.62 2.51–11.66 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.29–8.72 3.71–9.29 | 3.22 1.22–5.22 0.68–5.75 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 82% |
| Possession % | 59.80 53.01–66.59 51.34–68.26 | 40.74 33.96–47.53 32.29–49.20 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 589 522–657 504–675 | 399 332–465 315–482 | 988 854–1122 819–1157 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.91 85.88–93.94 84.59–95.24 | 84.59 80.27–88.92 78.96–90.23 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.77–14.45 8.02–15.20 | 11.23 8.29–14.18 7.54–14.93 | 22.84 17.06–28.63 15.56–30.13 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 2.07 0.98–3.17 0.69–3.45 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 26% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 2.21 1.09–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.82 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 4.20 2.65–5.76 2.22–6.18 | 6.42 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.