Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.352.67safe0.35–2.280.50–2.210.85–4.49safer0.10–2.540.27–2.430.37–4.97
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.338.80safe2.61–6.332.59–6.075.19–12.40safer2.12–6.822.12–6.544.24–13.36
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7912.1824.97safe8.86–16.718.62–15.7517.49–32.46safer7.77–17.817.66–16.7015.43–34.51
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.588.0615.64safe4.63–10.525.38–10.7410.01–21.26safer3.81–11.354.64–11.488.45–22.83
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.127.00safe1.99–5.751.47–4.783.46–10.53safer1.44–6.300.98–5.272.42–11.57
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.614.239.84safe3.40–7.822.23–6.235.62–14.05safer2.82–8.401.69–6.764.52–15.16
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.3343.99safe49.54–63.1237.20–50.77safer47.87–64.7935.53–52.44
Passes
75%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction474390864safe406–541324–457730–998safer388–559306–474695–1033
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction84.1080.07safe80.07–88.1375.75–84.40safer78.78–89.4274.44–85.71
Fouls
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7814.4225.19safe7.94–13.6111.47–17.3619.41–30.98safer7.18–14.3710.72–18.1117.91–32.48
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.933.95safe0.86–3.180.84–3.021.70–6.20safer0.56–3.480.55–3.311.11–6.79
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.314.00safe0.64–2.731.18–3.441.82–6.17safer0.37–3.000.89–3.731.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.125.82safe1.26–4.131.57–4.682.82–8.81safer0.87–4.521.14–5.102.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.28 0.10–2.54 | 1.35 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.43 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 4.33 2.59–6.07 2.12–6.54 | 8.80 5.19–12.40 4.24–13.36 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.79 8.86–16.71 7.77–17.81 | 12.18 8.62–15.75 7.66–16.70 | 24.97 17.49–32.46 15.43–34.51 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.58 4.63–10.52 3.81–11.35 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.48 | 15.64 10.01–21.26 8.45–22.83 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.75 1.44–6.30 | 3.12 1.47–4.78 0.98–5.27 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.57 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.40–7.82 2.82–8.40 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.69–6.76 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 56.33 49.54–63.12 47.87–64.79 | 43.99 37.20–50.77 35.53–52.44 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 474 406–541 388–559 | 390 324–457 306–474 | 864 730–998 695–1033 | 75% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.10 80.07–88.13 78.78–89.42 | 80.07 75.75–84.40 74.44–85.71 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 10.78 7.94–13.61 7.18–14.37 | 14.42 11.47–17.36 10.72–18.11 | 25.19 19.41–30.98 17.91–32.48 | 20% 73% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.93 0.84–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 3.95 1.70–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.00 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.12 1.57–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 5.82 2.82–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 35% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.