Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.202.79safe0.62–2.550.34–2.050.96–4.61safer0.37–2.810.12–2.280.48–5.09
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.029.59safe3.71–7.432.28–5.775.99–13.20safer3.22–7.921.82–6.235.03–14.15
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3610.1726.53safe12.43–20.286.61–13.7319.04–34.01safer11.34–21.375.65–14.6916.99–36.07
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.106.3416.44safe7.16–13.043.66–9.0210.82–22.06safer6.33–13.872.92–9.769.25–23.63
Blocked shots
64%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.616.64safe2.14–5.910.96–4.273.10–10.17safer1.60–6.450.47–4.762.07–11.21
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.709.61safe3.70–8.131.70–5.705.40–13.83safer3.13–8.701.17–6.234.29–14.93
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.6945.17safe47.90–61.4838.38–51.95safer46.23–63.1536.71–53.62
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction543449992safe476–610383–516858–1126safer458–628365–533823–1161
Pass accuracy %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction88.3185.73safe84.28–92.3481.40–90.05safer82.99–93.6380.09–91.36
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9211.7922.71safe8.08–13.768.84–14.7316.93–28.49safer7.33–14.518.09–15.4815.42–30.00
Offsides
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.924.16safe1.08–3.400.82–3.011.91–6.41safer0.78–3.700.54–3.301.32–7.00
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.123.96safe0.79–2.890.99–3.251.78–6.13safer0.52–3.150.70–3.541.22–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.736.36safe1.19–4.062.18–5.293.36–9.35safer0.80–4.451.75–5.722.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.55 0.37–2.81 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.71–7.43 3.22–7.92 | 4.02 2.28–5.77 1.82–6.23 | 9.59 5.99–13.20 5.03–14.15 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.36 12.43–20.28 11.34–21.37 | 10.17 6.61–13.73 5.65–14.69 | 26.53 19.04–34.01 16.99–36.07 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.10 7.16–13.04 6.33–13.87 | 6.34 3.66–9.02 2.92–9.76 | 16.44 10.82–22.06 9.25–23.63 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 2.61 0.96–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 6.64 3.10–10.17 2.07–11.21 | 64% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.91 3.70–8.13 3.13–8.70 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 9.61 5.40–13.83 4.29–14.93 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 54.69 47.90–61.48 46.23–63.15 | 45.17 38.38–51.95 36.71–53.62 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 543 476–610 458–628 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 992 858–1126 823–1161 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.31 84.28–92.34 82.99–93.63 | 85.73 81.40–90.05 80.09–91.36 | — | 61% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.92 8.08–13.76 7.33–14.51 | 11.79 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.48 | 22.71 16.93–28.49 15.42–30.00 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 1.92 0.82–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 4.16 1.91–6.41 1.32–7.00 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.72 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+