Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.542.83safe0.32–2.260.69–2.401.01–4.65safer0.07–2.510.46–2.620.53–5.13
Shots on target
39%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.648.96safe2.46–6.192.89–6.385.36–12.57safer1.97–6.682.43–6.844.40–13.52
Total shots
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9911.8023.79safe8.06–15.918.24–15.3616.30–31.28safer6.97–17.007.28–16.3214.25–33.33
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction7.477.8715.34safe4.52–10.415.19–10.559.72–20.96safer3.70–11.244.45–11.298.15–22.53
Blocked shots
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.066.16safe1.22–4.991.41–4.712.63–9.70safer0.68–5.530.91–5.201.59–10.73
Corners
43%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.508.96safe2.24–6.672.50–6.504.75–13.17safer1.67–7.251.97–7.033.64–14.28
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.5352.67safe40.74–54.3245.89–59.46safer39.07–55.9944.21–61.13
Passes
29%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction465529994safe397–532463–596860–1128safer379–550445–613825–1163
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction86.3988.38safe82.36–90.4284.06–92.70safer81.07–91.7182.75–94.01
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6110.5522.16safe8.77–14.457.61–13.5016.38–27.95safer8.02–15.216.86–14.2414.88–29.45
Offsides
53%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.804.26safe1.30–3.620.71–2.892.01–6.51safer1.00–3.920.42–3.181.42–7.10
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.073.85safe0.74–2.840.94–3.201.68–6.03safer0.47–3.100.65–3.491.12–6.59
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.055.84safe1.35–4.221.50–4.612.85–8.84safer0.96–4.611.07–5.042.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.62 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 4.64 2.89–6.38 2.43–6.84 | 8.96 5.36–12.57 4.40–13.52 | 39% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 11.99 8.06–15.91 6.97–17.00 | 11.80 8.24–15.36 7.28–16.32 | 23.79 16.30–31.28 14.25–33.33 | 47% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.52–10.41 3.70–11.24 | 7.87 5.19–10.55 4.45–11.29 | 15.34 9.72–20.96 8.15–22.53 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.22–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.06 1.41–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 6.16 2.63–9.70 1.59–10.73 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 4.46 2.24–6.67 1.67–7.25 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.03 | 8.96 4.75–13.17 3.64–14.28 | 43% 14% 44% |
| Possession % | 47.53 40.74–54.32 39.07–55.99 | 52.67 45.89–59.46 44.21–61.13 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 465 397–532 379–550 | 529 463–596 445–613 | 994 860–1128 825–1163 | 29% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.39 82.36–90.42 81.07–91.71 | 88.38 84.06–92.70 82.75–94.01 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.77–14.45 8.02–15.21 | 10.55 7.61–13.50 6.86–14.24 | 22.16 16.38–27.95 14.88–29.45 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.62 1.00–3.92 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 4.26 2.01–6.51 1.42–7.10 | 53% 19% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.85 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.04 | 5.84 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+