Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.150.712.86safe1.18–3.110.00–1.571.04–4.68safer0.93–3.360.00–1.800.56–5.16
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.722.529.24safe4.86–8.580.78–4.275.64–12.85safer4.37–9.070.31–4.734.68–13.80
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.817.4527.25safe15.88–23.733.89–11.0119.77–34.74safer14.79–24.822.93–11.9717.72–36.79
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction12.924.9517.87safe9.98–15.862.27–7.6312.24–23.49safer9.15–16.691.53–8.3710.68–25.06
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.312.127.43safe3.43–7.190.47–3.783.90–10.97safer2.88–7.740.00–4.272.86–12.01
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.253.1610.41safe5.04–9.461.16–5.166.20–14.63safer4.46–10.040.63–5.705.09–15.73
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8538.28safe55.06–68.6431.50–45.07safer53.39–70.3129.83–46.74
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction579355933safe511–646288–421799–1067safer493–664271–439764–1102
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction81.7567.33safe77.72–85.7863.00–71.65safer76.43–87.0761.69–72.96
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9511.1424.09safe10.12–15.798.19–14.0818.31–29.87safer9.36–16.557.45–14.8316.81–31.38
Offsides
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.754.00safe1.08–3.400.66–2.851.74–6.25safer0.78–3.700.37–3.141.15–6.84
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.243.76safe0.46–2.561.12–3.371.58–5.94safer0.20–2.830.82–3.661.02–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.804.396.19safe0.37–3.242.83–5.943.20–9.18safer0.00–3.632.40–6.372.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.15 1.18–3.11 0.93–3.36 | 0.71 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.80 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.72 4.86–8.58 4.37–9.07 | 2.52 0.78–4.27 0.31–4.73 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.81 15.88–23.73 14.79–24.82 | 7.45 3.89–11.01 2.93–11.97 | 27.25 19.77–34.74 17.72–36.79 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.92 9.98–15.86 9.15–16.69 | 4.95 2.27–7.63 1.53–8.37 | 17.87 12.24–23.49 10.68–25.06 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.31 3.43–7.19 2.88–7.74 | 2.12 0.47–3.78 0.00–4.27 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.01 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.25 5.04–9.46 4.46–10.04 | 3.16 1.16–5.16 0.63–5.70 | 10.41 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.73 | 87% |
| Possession % | 61.85 55.06–68.64 53.39–70.31 | 38.28 31.50–45.07 29.83–46.74 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 579 511–646 493–664 | 355 288–421 271–439 | 933 799–1067 764–1102 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.75 77.72–85.78 76.43–87.07 | 67.33 63.00–71.65 61.69–72.96 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.95 10.12–15.79 9.36–16.55 | 11.14 8.19–14.08 7.45–14.83 | 24.09 18.31–29.87 16.81–31.38 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 4.00 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.24 1.12–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.49 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.80 0.37–3.24 0.00–3.63 | 4.39 2.83–5.94 2.40–6.37 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+