Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.233.11safe0.00–1.851.38–3.091.29–4.93safer0.00–2.101.15–3.320.81–5.41
Shots on target
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.055.858.90safe1.19–4.924.10–7.595.30–12.51safer0.70–5.413.64–8.064.34–13.46
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7016.8925.60safe4.78–12.6313.33–20.4618.11–33.09safer3.69–13.7212.37–21.4216.06–35.14
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.5410.7516.28safe2.59–8.488.07–13.4310.66–21.91safer1.77–9.317.33–14.169.09–23.47
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.837.43safe0.72–4.483.18–6.483.89–10.96safer0.18–5.032.68–6.972.86–12.00
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.375.999.36safe1.16–5.593.99–7.995.15–13.58safer0.58–6.163.46–8.524.04–14.68
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction40.0261.43safe33.23–46.8154.65–68.22safer31.56–48.4852.98–69.89
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction370543913safe303–437476–609779–1046safer284–455459–627743–1082
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction66.1679.48safe62.13–70.1975.15–83.80safer60.84–71.4873.84–85.11
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4513.7025.15safe8.62–14.2910.75–16.6419.37–30.94safer7.86–15.0510.01–17.3917.87–32.44
Offsides
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.304.12safe0.66–2.981.20–3.391.87–6.37safer0.36–3.280.92–3.681.28–6.96
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.074.12safe1.00–3.100.94–3.201.94–6.30safer0.74–3.370.65–3.491.38–6.85
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.912.276.18safe2.47–5.340.72–3.833.19–9.17safer2.08–5.730.29–4.252.38–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 2.23 1.38–3.09 1.15–3.32 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 13% 19% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.05 1.19–4.92 0.70–5.41 | 5.85 4.10–7.59 3.64–8.06 | 8.90 5.30–12.51 4.34–13.46 | 13% 78% |
| Total shots | 8.70 4.78–12.63 3.69–13.72 | 16.89 13.33–20.46 12.37–21.42 | 25.60 18.11–33.09 16.06–35.14 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 5.54 2.59–8.48 1.77–9.31 | 10.75 8.07–13.43 7.33–14.16 | 16.28 10.66–21.91 9.09–23.47 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.72–4.48 0.18–5.03 | 4.83 3.18–6.48 2.68–6.97 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.37 1.16–5.59 0.58–6.16 | 5.99 3.99–7.99 3.46–8.52 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.68 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 40.02 33.23–46.81 31.56–48.48 | 61.43 54.65–68.22 52.98–69.89 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 370 303–437 284–455 | 543 476–609 459–627 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.16 62.13–70.19 60.84–71.48 | 79.48 75.15–83.80 73.84–85.11 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.62–14.29 7.86–15.05 | 13.70 10.75–16.64 10.01–17.39 | 25.15 19.37–30.94 17.87–32.44 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 2.30 1.20–3.39 0.92–3.68 | 4.12 1.87–6.37 1.28–6.96 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.12 1.94–6.30 1.38–6.85 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.91 2.47–5.34 2.08–5.73 | 2.27 0.72–3.83 0.29–4.25 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.38–9.98 | 67% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+