Serie A·Regular Season - 7·
Serie A·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.652.86safe0.23–2.170.80–2.511.04–4.68safer0.00–2.420.57–2.740.56–5.16
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.245.259.49safe2.37–6.103.51–7.005.88–13.09safer1.88–6.593.04–7.464.93–14.05
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7414.8528.59safe9.82–17.6711.28–18.4121.10–36.07safer8.72–18.7610.32–19.3719.05–38.13
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.869.1718.03safe5.91–11.806.49–11.8512.40–23.65safer5.08–12.635.75–12.5910.84–25.22
Blocked shots
29%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.314.367.67safe1.43–5.192.70–6.014.13–11.20safer0.88–5.732.21–6.503.10–12.24
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.725.3810.10safe2.51–6.933.38–7.385.89–14.31safer1.93–7.512.85–7.914.78–15.42
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.4961.08safe32.70–46.2854.29–67.86safer31.03–47.9552.62–69.53
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction334540874safe267–402474–606741–1008safer249–420456–624705–1044
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction69.9482.36safe65.91–73.9778.03–86.68safer64.62–75.2676.73–87.99
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0711.6423.72safe9.24–14.918.70–14.5917.93–29.50safer8.48–15.677.95–15.3316.43–31.00
Offsides
69%
16%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.354.24safe1.73–4.050.26–2.451.99–6.50safer1.43–4.350.00–2.741.40–7.09
Yellow cards
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.954.21safe1.22–3.320.82–3.082.03–6.39safer0.95–3.580.53–3.371.48–6.95
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.976.16safe1.75–4.621.42–4.533.16–9.15safer1.36–5.010.99–4.962.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.74 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.37–6.10 1.88–6.59 | 5.25 3.51–7.00 3.04–7.46 | 9.49 5.88–13.09 4.93–14.05 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 13.74 9.82–17.67 8.72–18.76 | 14.85 11.28–18.41 10.32–19.37 | 28.59 21.10–36.07 19.05–38.13 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.86 5.91–11.80 5.08–12.63 | 9.17 6.49–11.85 5.75–12.59 | 18.03 12.40–23.65 10.84–25.22 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 4.36 2.70–6.01 2.21–6.50 | 7.67 4.13–11.20 3.10–12.24 | 29% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.51–6.93 1.93–7.51 | 5.38 3.38–7.38 2.85–7.91 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 39.49 32.70–46.28 31.03–47.95 | 61.08 54.29–67.86 52.62–69.53 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 334 267–402 249–420 | 540 474–606 456–624 | 874 741–1008 705–1044 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.94 65.91–73.97 64.62–75.26 | 82.36 78.03–86.68 76.73–87.99 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.24–14.91 8.48–15.67 | 11.64 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.33 | 23.72 17.93–29.50 16.43–31.00 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.43–4.35 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 4.24 1.99–6.50 1.40–7.09 | 69% 16% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.58 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 4.21 2.03–6.39 1.48–6.95 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.96 | 6.16 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.