Serie A·Regular Season - 30·
Serie A·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.113.05safe0.98–2.910.25–1.961.23–4.87safer0.73–3.160.02–2.190.75–5.35
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.914.009.90safe4.04–7.772.25–5.746.30–13.51safer3.55–8.261.79–6.205.34–14.46
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1510.9128.06safe13.22–21.077.35–14.4720.57–35.54safer12.13–22.166.39–15.4318.52–37.59
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.937.4818.40safe7.98–13.874.80–10.1612.78–24.03safer7.15–14.704.06–10.8911.21–25.59
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.377.23safe2.98–6.750.72–4.023.70–10.77safer2.44–7.290.23–4.522.66–11.81
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.493.7410.23safe4.28–8.701.74–5.746.02–14.44safer3.70–9.281.20–6.274.91–15.55
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.8834.94safe59.09–72.6728.16–41.73safer57.42–74.3426.49–43.40
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction584314898safe517–651248–381765–1032safer499–669230–398729–1068
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction84.0669.98safe80.03–88.0965.66–74.31safer78.74–89.3864.35–75.61
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6112.8524.46safe8.77–14.459.90–15.7918.67–30.24safer8.01–15.209.15–16.5417.17–31.74
Offsides
18%
16%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.874.40safe0.37–2.701.77–3.962.15–6.65safer0.07–3.001.48–4.251.56–7.24
Yellow cards
26%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.554.28safe0.68–2.771.42–3.682.10–6.46safer0.41–3.041.13–3.971.54–7.01
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.916.51safe1.16–4.032.35–5.463.51–9.50safer0.77–4.421.93–5.892.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.98–2.91 0.73–3.16 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.91 4.04–7.77 3.55–8.26 | 4.00 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 9.90 6.30–13.51 5.34–14.46 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 17.15 13.22–21.07 12.13–22.16 | 10.91 7.35–14.47 6.39–15.43 | 28.06 20.57–35.54 18.52–37.59 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.93 7.98–13.87 7.15–14.70 | 7.48 4.80–10.16 4.06–10.89 | 18.40 12.78–24.03 11.21–25.59 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.98–6.75 2.44–7.29 | 2.37 0.72–4.02 0.23–4.52 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.81 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.49 4.28–8.70 3.70–9.28 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.20–6.27 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 65.88 59.09–72.67 57.42–74.34 | 34.94 28.16–41.73 26.49–43.40 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 584 517–651 499–669 | 314 248–381 230–398 | 898 765–1032 729–1068 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.06 80.03–88.09 78.74–89.38 | 69.98 65.66–74.31 64.35–75.61 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.77–14.45 8.01–15.20 | 12.85 9.90–15.79 9.15–16.54 | 24.46 18.67–30.24 17.17–31.74 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.70 0.07–3.00 | 2.87 1.77–3.96 1.48–4.25 | 4.40 2.15–6.65 1.56–7.24 | 18% 16% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.55 1.42–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 4.28 2.10–6.46 1.54–7.01 | 26% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.91 2.35–5.46 1.93–5.89 | 6.51 3.51–9.50 2.70–10.31 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+