Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.683.01safe0.36–2.290.83–2.541.18–4.83safer0.10–2.540.60–2.760.70–5.31
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.995.2610.25safe3.13–6.853.52–7.006.64–13.85safer2.64–7.343.05–7.475.69–14.81
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0914.3929.47safe11.16–19.0110.82–17.9521.99–36.96safer10.07–20.109.87–18.9119.93–39.01
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.399.3918.78safe6.45–12.336.71–12.0713.16–24.41safer5.62–13.165.97–12.8111.59–25.97
Blocked shots
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.988.70safe2.84–6.602.33–5.645.17–12.24safer2.30–7.151.84–6.134.13–13.27
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.6610.22safe3.35–7.782.66–6.666.01–14.43safer2.77–8.352.12–7.194.90–15.54
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.0456.08safe37.25–50.8349.29–62.86safer35.58–52.5047.62–64.53
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction354469823safe287–422402–535689–957safer269–440385–553654–992
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction77.0382.55safe73.00–81.0678.22–86.87safer71.71–82.3576.91–88.18
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7611.1024.86safe10.93–16.608.16–14.0419.08–30.65safer10.17–17.367.41–14.7917.58–32.15
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.422.98safe0.40–2.720.33–2.510.73–5.23safer0.10–3.020.04–2.800.14–5.82
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.174.29safe1.07–3.171.04–3.302.11–6.47safer0.81–3.440.75–3.591.56–7.03
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.436.70safe1.84–4.711.87–4.993.71–9.70safer1.45–5.101.45–5.412.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.36–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.76 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 5.26 3.52–7.00 3.05–7.47 | 10.25 6.64–13.85 5.69–14.81 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 15.09 11.16–19.01 10.07–20.10 | 14.39 10.82–17.95 9.87–18.91 | 29.47 21.99–36.96 19.93–39.01 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.39 6.45–12.33 5.62–13.16 | 9.39 6.71–12.07 5.97–12.81 | 18.78 13.16–24.41 11.59–25.97 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.60 2.30–7.15 | 3.98 2.33–5.64 1.84–6.13 | 8.70 5.17–12.24 4.13–13.27 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.78 2.77–8.35 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.12–7.19 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 44.04 37.25–50.83 35.58–52.50 | 56.08 49.29–62.86 47.62–64.53 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 354 287–422 269–440 | 469 402–535 385–553 | 823 689–957 654–992 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.03 73.00–81.06 71.71–82.35 | 82.55 78.22–86.87 76.91–88.18 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 13.76 10.93–16.60 10.17–17.36 | 11.10 8.16–14.04 7.41–14.79 | 24.86 19.08–30.65 17.58–32.15 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 2.98 0.73–5.23 0.14–5.82 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.29 2.11–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 3.43 1.87–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+