Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.343.36safe1.05–2.990.48–2.191.53–5.18safer0.80–3.240.25–2.421.05–5.66
Shots on target
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.874.3310.20safe4.01–7.742.59–6.076.60–13.81safer3.52–8.232.12–6.545.64–14.76
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5712.7930.35safe13.64–21.499.23–16.3522.87–37.84safer12.55–22.588.27–17.3120.82–39.89
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction11.208.2419.44safe8.26–14.145.56–10.9313.82–25.07safer7.43–14.974.83–11.6612.25–26.63
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.418.37safe3.08–6.841.76–5.074.84–11.91safer2.53–7.381.27–5.563.80–12.94
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.5110.61safe3.89–8.312.51–6.516.39–14.82safer3.31–8.891.97–7.045.29–15.93
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction58.7641.27safe51.97–65.5534.48–48.05safer50.30–67.2232.81–49.72
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction516337853safe449–583271–404720–987safer431–601253–421684–1023
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction86.0377.57safe82.00–90.0573.25–81.90safer80.70–91.3571.94–83.21
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4814.1724.64safe7.64–13.3111.22–17.1118.86–30.42safer6.88–14.0710.47–17.8617.36–31.93
Offsides
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.272.80safe0.37–2.690.18–2.360.55–5.05safer0.07–2.990.00–2.650.00–5.64
Yellow cards
32%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.113.81safe0.65–2.750.98–3.241.63–5.99safer0.38–3.010.69–3.531.07–6.54
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.914.086.99safe1.47–4.352.53–5.644.00–9.99safer1.09–4.732.10–6.063.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 3.36 1.53–5.18 1.05–5.66 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.87 4.01–7.74 3.52–8.23 | 4.33 2.59–6.07 2.12–6.54 | 10.20 6.60–13.81 5.64–14.76 | 63% 26% |
| Total shots | 17.57 13.64–21.49 12.55–22.58 | 12.79 9.23–16.35 8.27–17.31 | 30.35 22.87–37.84 20.82–39.89 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.20 8.26–14.14 7.43–14.97 | 8.24 5.56–10.93 4.83–11.66 | 19.44 13.82–25.07 12.25–26.63 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.96 3.08–6.84 2.53–7.38 | 3.41 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 8.37 4.84–11.91 3.80–12.94 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.89–8.31 3.31–8.89 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.97–7.04 | 10.61 6.39–14.82 5.29–15.93 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 58.76 51.97–65.55 50.30–67.22 | 41.27 34.48–48.05 32.81–49.72 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 431–601 | 337 271–404 253–421 | 853 720–987 684–1023 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.03 82.00–90.05 80.70–91.35 | 77.57 73.25–81.90 71.94–83.21 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.48 7.64–13.31 6.88–14.07 | 14.17 11.22–17.11 10.47–17.86 | 24.64 18.86–30.42 17.36–31.93 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.27 0.18–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.80 0.55–5.05 0.00–5.64 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.07–6.54 | 32% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.35 1.09–4.73 | 4.08 2.53–5.64 2.10–6.06 | 6.99 4.00–9.99 3.19–10.80 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.