Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.950.862.81safe0.98–2.920.00–1.710.99–4.63safer0.73–3.170.00–1.940.51–5.11
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.873.048.92safe4.01–7.741.30–4.785.31–12.52safer3.52–8.230.83–5.254.36–13.48
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction15.759.2024.96safe11.83–19.685.64–12.7617.47–32.44safer10.74–20.774.68–13.7215.42–34.49
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.805.4716.27safe7.86–13.742.79–8.1510.65–21.90safer7.03–14.572.05–8.899.08–23.46
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.272.656.92safe2.39–6.151.00–4.303.38–10.45safer1.84–6.690.50–4.792.35–11.49
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.118.86safe3.54–7.971.11–5.114.65–13.08safer2.97–8.550.57–5.643.54–14.19
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.3248.26safe45.53–59.1141.47–55.04safer43.86–60.7839.80–56.72
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction475446921safe408–542380–513788–1055safer390–560362–530752–1091
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction79.5080.60safe75.47–83.5376.28–84.93safer74.18–84.8274.97–86.24
Fouls
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4211.4325.85safe11.59–17.268.49–14.3720.07–31.63safer10.83–18.027.74–15.1218.57–33.14
Offsides
55%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.133.00safe0.71–3.030.03–2.220.75–5.25safer0.41–3.340.00–2.510.16–5.84
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.184.16safe0.93–3.031.05–3.311.98–6.34safer0.66–3.300.76–3.601.42–6.89
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.685.86safe0.74–3.612.13–5.242.86–8.85safer0.35–4.001.70–5.672.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.92 0.73–3.17 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.87 4.01–7.74 3.52–8.23 | 3.04 1.30–4.78 0.83–5.25 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 78% |
| Total shots | 15.75 11.83–19.68 10.74–20.77 | 9.20 5.64–12.76 4.68–13.72 | 24.96 17.47–32.44 15.42–34.49 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.80 7.86–13.74 7.03–14.57 | 5.47 2.79–8.15 2.05–8.89 | 16.27 10.65–21.90 9.08–23.46 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 6.92 3.38–10.45 2.35–11.49 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.55 | 3.11 1.11–5.11 0.57–5.64 | 8.86 4.65–13.08 3.54–14.19 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 52.32 45.53–59.11 43.86–60.78 | 48.26 41.47–55.04 39.80–56.72 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 475 408–542 390–560 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.50 75.47–83.53 74.18–84.82 | 80.60 76.28–84.93 74.97–86.24 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 14.42 11.59–17.26 10.83–18.02 | 11.43 8.49–14.37 7.74–15.12 | 25.85 20.07–31.63 18.57–33.14 | 69% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 1.13 0.03–2.22 0.00–2.51 | 3.00 0.75–5.25 0.16–5.84 | 55% 23% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.30 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.42–6.89 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.68 2.13–5.24 1.70–5.67 | 5.86 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+